By now, you know stacking in NFL DFS is a no-brainer. It’s not exactly breaking news. But just knowing how to build NFL DFS stacks won’t get you that big payday. Want to know what actually makes your bankroll smile? Stokastic Sims. These powerhouses run thousands of slate scenarios, showing you how things really pan out. They spit out lineups that squeeze the most ROI, factoring in salary, NFL DFS projections and ownership. Then you can slice and dice those lineups to find the best stacks — how many players to roll with, which pass catchers to load up on, the whole 9 yards. So let’s dive into the top Week 3 NFL DFS stacks for DraftKings and FanDuel, courtesy of Stokastic’s NFL DFS Sims — and we’re swinging for the fences this week, folks.
Week 3 Top NFL DFS Stacks Based on Simulated Stack ROI
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Top Week 3 DraftKings NFL DFS Stack: Chicago Bears
Look, we’re not thrilled with how the Bears offense has been either. Caleb Williams has looked every bit the rookie, and the offensive line is doing him no favors. But salaries be droppin’ on the lakefront, and Chicago stacks are returning like crazy in the Week 3 main slate Sims. Here is a look at the top 5 quarterbacks sorted by two-pass-catcher pairings:
Williams is the No. 1 quarterback in terms of ROI at any stack size: One, two or three receivers. With one and two teammates, it’s not even close.
Only three quarterbacks are simming with positive returns period, and Geno Smith is the lone other quarterback in double digits. And while it’s OK to be skeptical of these Bears stacks, Williams is in 13% of the top 300 lineups in terms of ROI, and he is only getting 4.2% in our NFL DFS ownership projections.
Yes, we are going to have to get Rome Odunze in stacks to make this work. The first-round pick has not impressed much through two games, but his salary is down to $4,200 and no receiver is simulating for even half his ROI of 46.2%. The only receiver in more top-300 lineups is DeVonta Smith, and his ownership is pushing 20%; Odunze is, like Williams, in the 4% range.
And now we get to the more comfortable adds. Obviously, D.J. Moore is in this group since he is the only “safe” option in the entire Bears offense. He is getting close to 9% projected ownership, and as an individual Moore has negative ROI; however, he is also in 12.7% of top-300 simulated lineups, which is eighth among all wide receivers. He isn’t getting you the same leverage Odunze is, but Moore is still positive at 3.4%, and he brings the upside if Williams finally starts chucking it like a No. 1 pick.
Two receivers with Williams is the most commonly successful combination, but adding a third gets Williams over 50% positive ROI when utilized, so it could be worth a sprinkle here and there. Cole Kmet and D’Andre Swift are both negative from an ROI standpoint on their own, but Swift is in 3% of top-300 lineups (pretty much every top lineup has the 49ers’ Jordan Mason at running back) and Kmet at 1.3%. Neither is a must unless you are really leaning into the Bears of it all on DraftKings.
Top Week 3 FanDuel NFL DFS Stack: Philadelphia Eagles
The top FanDuel stack is not as clear — though truth be told, it’s the Bears again. So we’ll turn to the second-best stack, one with few viable options but a much safer floor: The Eagles.
Jalen Hurts is not the top returner at any stacking size, but he is third for both plus-one and plus-two combinations — something those ahead of him in ROI cannot say. He also has exactly two teammates who appear in any of the top-300 lineups, with all three of them getting over 14% exposure in said lineups.
Overall, Hurts’ ROI is positive but well behind Williams’ (4.3% to 15.2%). His top receiver in DeVonta Smith is also returning negatively on investment as an individual. But Smith is the ninth-most exposed receiver in top-300 simulated lineups, and despite 12.5% projected ownership, he is comfortably getting positive leverage. The yardage numbers have not been amazing for Smith in the absence of A.J. Brown. The target and reception volume, however, has been sound, as he had seven catches in both games and 10 targets (plus a touchdown) last time out. Smith has a safe floor, as does Hurts, assuming the latter avoids the bird-brained interceptions.
The other guy to throw in is Dallas Goedert, who trails only Trey McBride in top-300 exposure among tight ends and is returning 4.4% percent on investment. Goedert also is second behind McBride in leverage since the pool is only going to him 7.0% of the time in our projections. So far Goedert isn’t offering much — he did not get to 40 yards in either game and has nine total targets — but the Eagles are playing the Saints, who have magically become Team Shootout. Game script suggests airing it out, and Philadelphia has two pretty solid pairings to go with Hurts.
And these are the only three Eagles in any top-300 lineups, so choices are easy if you go with a Philadelphia FanDuel stack.
