NFL DFS: Another $30K Showdown Win From a Stokastic User

Stokastic users can’t seem to stay off the top of DraftKings and FanDuel leaderboards — it’s almost like we planned it. Whether it’s our game-changing DFS Sims Tools, best-in-class projections or just tuning in to our YouTube channel for a little extra edge, the path to DFS glory has been stomped flat by our subscribers. This time, we’re celebrating another massive win to add to the highlight reel — hot on the heels of a couple more Milly Maker victories. But this one’s got a good lesson: Our savvy friend MME’d their way to $32,500 with a Showdown win! Let’s break down their DraftKings NFL DFS winning lineup and the tools that could have you staring down your own big payday.

Ready to dominate DFS? Sign up for a Stokastic+ NFL package today and explore our NFL subscriptions guide to find the perfect plan for your needs — complete with pricing tiers and all the goodies included.

Want to crush sports betting too? OddsShopper has your back with FREE expert picks from industry leaders. And if you’re hungry for even more, upgrade to a Tails subscription for premium picks and insider analysis straight from the pros. Time to level up your game!

NFL DFS Tools & Winning Lineup: $30K Showdown Win From Stokastic User

Let’s take a look at something we don’t always check out when we tout our winners: Here is bmac5888’s total ROI for his lineups in this DraftKings contest:

They put 101 total lineups into this contest, of which 41 cashed and five finished in the top 100. Now, that is a very strong result, and despite splitting the top prize, they had a 945.6% total lineup ROI compared to their first-place comrade’s 604.7%. That came on 150 lineups, by the way, but they didn’t use Stokastic’s Sims, so you know …

The point is you have to keep volume in mind with these winners. Yes, sometimes we have single-bullet champs who pull $30,000 out of a $9 entry. But MME is more often the route to big wins, and this was further evidence of that.

Here is the lineup that helped bmac5888 split first place:

This Packers-Lions game was a shootout, so you had to be pretty particular about this individual pieces beyond just the quarterbacks. The easiest way to both differentiation and paying off big time was with Tim Patrick at Captain. Patrick had not scored a touchdown all year, so Captaining him was an absolute swing for the fences. Two touchdown later at 0.6% Captain ownership, and we have an easy route to a first-place Showdown lineup.

After going so off the wall with the Captain, honestly, who even cares about ownership with the Flex positions? The Sims gave bmac5888 chalk down the board from there to the tune of first, second, third, seventh and 10th in terms of Flex ownership. Not one of those players was less than 25% owned in the Flex.

Now, given bmac5888 split top prize, one could argue it would have behooved them to have someone else in the Flex. But for one, only one other Flex had positive ROI: Sione Viaki. Secondly, this was one of over 100 lineups that bmac5888 used from the Sims. It was a swing, a high-upside, low-floor lineup that, in this case, happened to pay off big.

That’s where the Sims thrive: Taking every possible outcome and giving you a lot of scenarios with which to work. It worked in this case for bmac5888, and it can work for you too — just sign up for a Stokastic+ NFL package and join them at the top of the podium!


Stokastic has everything you need to dominate NFL DFS, no matter the slate, format, or platform.

Explore a Stokastic+ NFL package to access cutting-edge tools like the NFL DFS Sims and Lineup Generator, plus essential data such as projections, ownership projections, and the NFL Top Stacks tool!


New NFL DFS Tools and Data for 2024

NFL Single-Lineup Simulator

If you’re a single-entry player or prefer crafting your NFL DFS lineups manually, the Single-Lineup Simulator is tailor-made for you. This tool lets you build your lineups by hand and then simulates them against the field, similar to our full NFL DFS Sims. Now, you can evaluate whether your hand-built lineups are producing a positive return on investment or if they’re putting you at a disadvantage over time.

Beyond ROI, the Single-Lineup Simulator provides insights into the odds of your lineup winning, landing in the top 10%, or cashing. Use this tool to refine your single-entry strategy and assess the effectiveness of your hand-built lineups.

Daily Fantasy Pick’em Optimizers for PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy and DraftKings Pick6

Stokastic now offers top-tier Pick’em projections, giving you a streamlined way to create +EV entries on leading DFS apps. With optimizers for PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy, and DraftKings Pick6, you can easily compare picks based on expected value, maximizing your potential return on investment. Alternatively, let the optimizer suggest the best entry with just one click.

Build entries for Power Plays (Standard Entries) or Flex Plays and start boosting your ROI with our +EV picks.

Returning NFL DFS Tools and Data You Know and Love

NFL Lineup Generator

Create high-ROI lineups in just a few clicks. Choose your stack types, adjust for chalk or contrarian plays, and lock in key players. The NFL Lineup Generator generates lineups that you can save or discard. Once you’ve selected your preferred lineups, export them for easy upload to your DFS platform.

NFL Contest Generator

Generate a custom lineup pool tailored to your slate’s ownership projections. Compare projected ownership vs. actual ownership and refine your lineups with the “Boost Ownership” arrows for each player.

NFL Pre-Contest Simulator

Use the Pre-Contest Simulator to test your lineups in various contest scenarios, analyzing your competition and identifying high-ROI opportunities. After thousands of simulations, lineups receive an ROI percentage and other key metrics to inform your strategy.

NFL Post-Contest Simulator

Post-contest analysis is critical for long-term success. Use our Post-Contest Simulator to gain a deeper understanding of your lineups’ performance. Compare simulated ROI, user projections, and ownership averages to identify the most profitable strategies. Track ROI trends across contests to spot the most lucrative opportunities.

NFL Data + Projections

Stokastic delivers the most accurate DFS data, crafted by top players with millions in earnings. Our NFL DFS projections provide the reliable insights you need to stay ahead of the competition on every slate.

Author
Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.

DFS Winners from the Stokastic Community

Subscribe to the Stokastic newsletter

DFS advice, exciting promos, and the best bets straight to your inbox

Stokastic.com - Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting Data, Tools, & Analytics

Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.