After a few lower-key fight nights, including one from Paris, the UFC heads to Salt Lake City for an intriguing UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. card. In this article, we’ll dive into how I’m handling the UFC 307 DFS slate. As we discuss the best UFC 307 DFS picks for Pereira vs. Rountree Jr., I’ll spotlight a couple of fighters I have heavy exposure to for Saturday’s festivities by previewing their specific fights. You can find my full UFC 307 DFS breakdown on our YouTube Channel.
UFC 307 DFS Picks: Expert Plays & Predictions for Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Use Stokastic’s MMA DFS Data & Sims to Build Winning Lineups!
The Stokastic UFC MMA Data & Sims package is built to give DFS players a clear edge. With tools like the UFC DFS Top Fighters Tool, you’ll get detailed fighter stats, MMA DFS projections and ownership percentages.
The package regularly updates with fresh data to keep you updated. The Stokastic MMA DFS Sims even allow you to see the estimated ROI of fighters and lineups alike.
If you’re serious about winning UFC DFS tournaments, this package provides the data and tools you need. It’s easy to use, and the projections are made by experts, helping you stay ahead of the field.
Fight Preview: Julianna Pena vs. Raquel Pennington
The co-main event between Raquel Pennington and Juliana Pena is a five-round fight with high DFS appeal, especially given its mid-range pricing. Pennington is priced at $8,400, and Peña at $7,800, making this fight accessible for DFS lineups. With the likelihood of this fight going to a decision, both fighters are expected to maintain a high pace, which can lead to significant scoring. In her recent win against Marion Reneau, Pennington showcased her output, landing 134 significant strikes and maintaining control for 11 minutes, while Peña is known for her aggressive style, particularly in her upset victory over Amanda Nunes.
Given the five-round potential and high activity from both fighters, the winner of this fight is likely to appear in the optimal DFS lineup. Pennington has a slight edge due to her recent activity and Pena’s extended layoff due to injuries and waiting for a title shot. While Pena’s aggressiveness makes her worth exposure at $7,800, Pennington’s recent form and consistency give her a solid advantage. For single-entry lineups, Pennington is the preferred pick, but a balanced approach with 60% exposure to Pennington and 40% to Peña would be wise in multi-lineup builds.
Ultimately, this fight should be close and competitive, but Pennington’s experience and recent momentum make her a strong candidate to win by decision, offering solid DFS value. Both fighters are in plenty of my highest-ROI lineups, per our MMA DFS Sims.
Fight Preview: Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson vs. Joaquin Buckley
Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson faces Joaquin Buckley in a fight where Buckley’s path to victory is crystal clear — he needs to wrestle. In contrast, Thompson, once known for his dynamic striking, has been repeatedly exposed by opponents who have effectively used grappling to control and defeat him. Fighters like Belal Muhammad and Gilbert Burns have shown that by pushing Thompson against the cage and taking him down, they can grind out victories or even finish him. At 41 years old, Thompson’s speed and athleticism have begun to decline, making him even more vulnerable to this strategy.
Buckley has demonstrated improved wrestling in recent fights, landing multiple takedowns in his recent matchups. At $8,800 on DraftKings and with a modest 25% ownership projection, Buckley presents a solid DFS option. If he sticks to a wrestling-based game plan, he can either secure a decision win or potentially finish Thompson with ground-and-pound. Buckley’s ability to land powerful shots adds upside to his DFS appeal, making him a valuable target, especially for those looking to differentiate their lineups from the chalkier picks.
