There isn’t much digging into Stokastic’s NFL DFS Sims needed to find the best stacks this week — there’s a pretty healthy consensus. You may not love one of them given they burned us last week, but value is value is value, and the value is abundant with those little traitors in Atlanta. More to your liking will be the Rookie of the Year favorite and his squad getting one of the better matchups you’ll find. With those Sims and NFL DFS projections, we are going to find how to build NFL DFS stacks — here are the Week 7 NFL DFS stacks on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Week 7 Top NFL DFS Stacks Based on Simulated Stack ROI
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The NBA season is gearing up for launch (check out our NBA packages and promos), and the NFL is still churning out the winners. Now let’s use those Stokastic products and find some Week 7 NFL winners!
Top Week 7 DraftKings NFL DFS Stack: Washington Commanders
There has rarely been a week this year where Jayden Daniels has NOT been a strong-simulating quarterback option. The reason for him not appearing in this article series as of yet is the, shall we say, lesser simulated ROIs from his pass catchers.
That isn’t to say the Commanders receivers are bad, more that their per-dollar projections have led to far less exposure than Daniels in top-300 lineups most weeks. Well, finally we get to say with full confidence that a real squad of Commies is taking over DraftKings in Week 7:
Daniels is still easily the most oft-appearing Commander in these top-300 lineups at 23.0%. He is also the most stacked quarterback period, with plus-one stacks making it into 11.0% of the top 300, plus-two in 8.7% and plus-three in 2.3%. Only the last of those isn’t first among all passers (it’s fourth — Kirk Cousins is first there at 11.0%).
We like to focus on at least double-stacks since, you know, larger stacks are more fun as mental exercises. But Daniels also is an elite rusher, which adds to the appeal of only going with one pass catcher if you roster Daniels at quarterback. In that event, Zach Ertz and Terry McLaurin are close in terms of top-300 exposure.
Ertz is the No. 2 tight end in this Sims run at 18.3%, trailing only Colby Parkinson, and he projects for a little less ownership. Likewise, McLaurin is positively leveraged despite high-ish 13.4% ownership, and he is fourth in top-300 appearances among all receivers $6,500 and up.
The lean in stacks is definitely towards those two, both for their safeness as Daniels targets and for their projections relative to others at their positions. Now, Brian Robinson Jr. also appears in over 10% of top-300 lineups, but there are some caveats there. For one, that is middle of the pack among running backs. Two, he is slightly negative in terms of leverage, coming in at 11.7% in our NFL DFS ownership projections. Three, many other backs in his exact price range (Aaron Jones, Tony Pollard, Chuba Hubbard) appear in more high-ROI lineups AND have better simulated returns.
Robinson still works in some builds, but as a stacking piece he doesn’t have as much synergy with Daniels. They take away some rushing from each other, and Austin Ekeler has thus far been a greater factor in the receiving game.
Oh, and Robinson is questionable this week, so that all may be moot.
Top Week 7 FanDuel NFL DFS Stack: Atlanta Falcons
Did Atlanta burn us last week? Maybe a little. Are they again by a mile the top-projecting (non-Commanders) stack on the board? They sure are:
Falcons pass catchers actually appear quite a bit more in top-300 lineups than they did last week — and again the Falcons DST is one of the best options at that spot for the slate.
Drake London in particular is high-end value despite 28.2% ownership, as he is approaching 50% exposure in top-300 lineups this Sims run. That mark leads all receivers and is third among everyone, and London also carries the most leverage and fifth-best ROI at his position.
Even as the full Falcons stack busted against the Panthers, London led the way with 10 targets and caught a touchdown, so he wasn’t a bad play by any means. That’s now three straight games of double-digit targets for him.
What we really need to discuss here is Cousins. Nineteen completions for 225 yards are not going to cut it for a quarterback whose stack exposures are highest when paired with two or three pass catchers; he needs the volume to spread the ball around in bunches at least to a few guys.
Luckily, throughout his career volume has never been Cousins’ weakness, and this week Stokastic’s NFL stat projections have him at 270.5 yards passing to lead the slate.
Second place is Atlanta’s opponent Geno Smith — sounds like shootout potential to me.
So feel more comfortable throwing a few more Falcons in the mix besides just London. Last week it was Ray-Ray McCloud at the top of that group, and he still shows up quite a bit at 11.7% exposure in the top 300, but Darnell Mooney edges him out at 21.0% and 8.4% leverage. That said, both have nearly identical simulated ROIs, and McCloud will garner about half the ownership. You can do well with either here.
As for Bijan Robinson, the situation is pretty close to the similarly named Commanders back, only without the factor of leaching rushing upside from his quarterback. Robinson appears in 11.0% of top-300 lineups, but he is negatively leveraged, has negative ROI and is at a position where value is plentiful. You can go with Robinson in Falcons triple-stacks, and they will have extremely high upside — but other backs fill out high-ROI rosters more often.
