Hopefully you haven’t finished up all your Best Ball drafts yet — rankings and ADPs are changing on a weekly basis and creating massive Best Ball values league-wide. Our free Best Ball projections help to identify the biggest discrepancies between ADP and projection, which can give you some insight as to what high-impact players may be gettable later in drafts. We are going to cover the best value option for every team in the NFL, starting today with the NFC. You can also find all of the AFC value picks here.
Ready to up your Best Ball game to the expert tier? Matt Gajewski’s Best Ball guide can help a lot; he breaks down everything, from stacking strategy to specific draft times to general roster construction.
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Best Ball Values For Every Team In The NFC | Rankings vs. ADP
Best Ball Values: NFC North
Chicago Bears: WR19 D.J. Moore (Ranked 5.2 Spots Higher Than ADP)
It’s obvious that people are excited about the potential of this Chicago Bears offense, as there are few major oversights and no significant ADP reaches. The best value for the Bears right now is WR1 D.J. Moore, whom we rank 24th but who has an ADP of 29.2. Caleb Williams also has solid value, ranked 10 spots ahead of his ADP.
Moore had his best season ever with Justin Fields as his quarterback. If we consider Williams an upgrade (which we do, ranking him as our QB13), Moore has the potential for an even better season this year, even with the offense adding more weapons.
Detroit Lions: WR4 Amon-Ra St. Brown (Ranked 1.0 Spot Higher Than ADP)
This is definitely the NFC team we are least optimistic about. The only Lion we rank higher than their ADP is Amon-Ra St. Brown, with an ADP of 6.0 and our ranking at No. 5. Essentially, we are exactly in line with public sentiment on him.
For the rest of Detroit’s players, our rankings are significantly lower than their ADPs. We are anticipating a regression year for the Lions offense, at least from a fantasy perspective, as literally every player except St. Brown and Sam LaPorta has an ADP that is at least 10 spots higher than our ranking (LaPorta’s is six spots higher).
Green Bay Packers: RB11 Josh Jacobs (Ranked 9.8 Spots Higher Than ADP)
The Packers are getting more love than they deserve overall, just not quite to the level that the Lions are. However, there are still some good values on the team.
The best value is new running back Josh Jacobs, whom we rank at No. 43 compared to his ADP of 52.8. Matt LaFleur has consistently utilized running backs effectively, and Jacobs is an underrated receiving back. Over the last three seasons, he averaged three catches for 23 yards per game in addition to his 74 rushing yards per game. This looks like a situation where he can replace Jones’ all-around upside but add more rushing as a baseline.
Minnesota Vikings: QB26 J.J. McCarthy (Ranked 18.3 Spots Higher Than ADP)
While everything points to Sam Darnold being the Week 1 QB, we have a much higher opinion of J.J. McCarthy as a full-season quarterback than the public does. We rank him No. 189 overall compared to his ADP of 207.3, but this is still the back end of the draft.
We’ve seen this scenario with Darnold before. This is his third team since leaving the Jets where he’s been given a starting opportunity, only to fall short and lose the job without much fanfare. With the Vikings having drafted their future, they’ll likely turn to McCarthy sooner rather than later — especially if they start getting antsy feedback from two of the best at their position, Justin Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson.
Best Ball Values: NFC South
Atlanta Falcons: WR84 Rondale Moore (Ranked 18.5 Spots Higher Than ADP)
This might be the most undervalued stacking offense in Best Ball, with several strong options like Drake London, Kyle Pitts and Darnell Mooney, all ranking higher than their ADPs. Even Kirk Cousins is going overlooked as the No. 132 overall player against and ADP of 146.7.
Leading the pack, however, is Rondale Moore, who ranks 18.5 spots higher than his ADP in our Underdog Rankings. While he’s not the most accomplished WR3 in the league, Moore offers dual usage, having rushed for 178 yards last year. He’s also joining an offense that should have significant passing volume now that they have Cousins, unlike his previous situation in Arizona.
This whole offense is an underrated stacking option, and Moore is a good cap in the last handful of rounds.
Carolina Panthers: WR37 Diontae Johnson (Ranked 9.8 Spots Higher Than ADP)
Both of Carolina’s top two wide receivers present solid value: Adam Thielen in the later mid-rounds and Diontae Johnson in the range of Round 7 to 8. However, Johnson ranking 9.8 spots above his top-75 ADP offers slightly more value compared to Thielen, who is going 19 spots too late with a 158 ADP. Johnson is expected to be Bryce Young’s primary target, and with Young’s potential development, this season could be a big one for Johnson.
Because Young is the quarterback in question, there is volatility here. But there is also incredible upside.
New Orleans Saints: RB16 Alvin Kamara (Ranked 9.8 Spots Higher Than ADP)
This team is arguably the most accurately assessed in the NFL. Alvin Kamara stands out as the Saints’ top value pick by a significant margin, with our ranking placing him just 9.8 spots higher than his ADP. Despite a challenging 2023 season that included a suspension for the first three games, Kamara remains a highly talented player poised to bounce back strongly.
Every other Saint is either properly or slightly overvalued, and the quarterback situation with Derek Carr (whom we are quite low on) makes the pass catchers less desirable. Leaning on a reliable RB1 in Kamara makes the most sense with this team.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: RB12 Rachaad White (Ranked 18.6 Spots Higher Than ADP)
You have your choice of Tampa’s top four players, all of whom are notably undervalued. Among them, Baker Mayfield has the largest gap between our Underdog rankings and ADP, but the standout value is unquestionably Rachaad White, with an ADP of 63.6 — and that is actually getting lower, not higher, as drafts go on.
We rank White at 45th overall and the 12th-best running back in the league. He’s clearly a standout player with all-around ability, and in an offense led by Mayfield, White won’t ever become irrelevant because — frankly — Tampa shouldn’t put 45-plus pass attempts on Mayfield’s good-not-great arm.
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Best Ball Values: NFC East
Dallas Cowboys: QB7 Dak Prescott (Ranked 19.4 Spots Higher Than ADP)
Both Dallas running backs, Ezekiel Elliott and Rico Dowdle, offer good value, but the top player to draft from this team is actually Dak Prescott. His ADP of 96.4 is 19.4 spots higher than our ranking of him (No. 77), and we consider him our QB7 compared to the public’s QB9.
In contrast, Joe Burrow and Kyler Murray rank lower in our evaluations but quite a few spots higher in ADP. We are somewhat more confident in Prescott’s volume and injury history compared to those two quarterbacks.
New York Giants: QB24 Daniel Jones (Ranked 26.3 Spots Higher Than ADP)
Continuing our love for quarterbacks in this division, our top value pick for the Giants is Daniel Jones. Regardless of opinions on Jones as a real-life quarterback, he was a reliable fantasy performer before last year’s injury setbacks. If he stays healthy (a significant caveat), his rushing ability offsets his average passing skills, making him a far better option than his ADP of 197.6 suggests.
Plus, the Giants pass catchers should be much improved with the addition of Malik Nabers and a second year of Jalin Hyatt. And, you know, the Giants let Saquon Barkley walk because they chose to pay Jones all the money he is making, so there is job security there unless the Giants suddenly decide to reject the Sunk Cost Fallacy. In our rankings, we place Jones at No. 195.3.
Philadelphia Eagles: QB1 Jalen Hurts (Ranked 13.7 Spots Higher Than ADP)
One more quarterback? Sure, why not?
The public seems to have lost confidence in Jalen Hurts for understandable reasons given how the Eagles offense faltered last year. However, 15 rushing touchdowns from a quarterback are still 15 rushing touchdowns, and the addition of Barkley in the backfield shouldn’t necessarily reduce Hurts’ usage near the goal line. He is, after all, the most automatic quarterback sneak in the league.
In our rankings, we place Hurts 13.7 spots higher than his ADP, making him our No. 27 overall player and our No. 1 quarterback in Best Ball drafts. Josh Allen has a higher ADP, but we prefer Hurts by 12 whole spots ahead of Allen.
Washington Commanders: RB32 Austin Ekeler (Ranked 17.7 Spots Higher Than ADP)
We could easily go 4-for-4 on quarterbacks here, as we have Jayden Daniels ranked higher than his ADP suggests. However, the standout value on Washington is Austin Ekeler.
There’s a significant gap between our assessment of the Washington running back situation and public perception. While ADP positions Brian Robinson as the RB1 and the most drafted back, we strongly favor Ekeler for that role. Despite coming off a down year, Ekeler boasts extensive experience as a high-usage, three-down back. We rank Ekeler at No. 112 overall, well ahead of his ADP at 129.7, whereas Robinson sits at 131st in our rankings with an ADP of 106.3. In fact, Robinson is one of our most overvalued backs in the NFL.
One may quibble with that since Robinson has proven to be a versatile option, but he has always been part of a committee and the public assumption he will emerge as RB1 is a little odd. Ekeler, meanwhile, has been a legit three-down back for years. Both will get theirs, but Ekeler should get more.
Best Ball Values: NFC West
Arizona Cardinals: WR82 Zay Jones (Ranked 26.7 Spots Higher Than ADP)
There are more players on Arizona’s roster who are overvalued than those who are undervalued (such as Trey Benson and James Conner), but one standout value is Zay Jones.
Despite ADP placing Jones as the Cardinals’ WR3, we have him ranked 24 spots higher than Michael Wilson, who is being drafted 28 spots earlier than Jones. Jones is the veteran in the wide receiver room that is now headed by Marvin Harrison Jr., and he posted an 800-yard, five-touchdown season just two years ago before injuries hampered his 2023 campaign. We are buying the bounce back this year.
Los Angeles Rams: QB19 Matthew Stafford (Ranked 11.8 Spots Higher Than ADP)
Once more, opinions on the Rams are generally accurate or leaning towards overvaluation, but Matthew Stafford stands out as a top mid-round quarterback option.
Both our rankings and ADP place him at QB19. However, we rank him 140th overall, while his ADP sits at 151.8. While that is not a significant difference, drafting Stafford about a round later than his perceived value can yield good value, especially given that he has arguably the best top 2 in the league to throw to.
San Francisco 49ers: TE6 George Kittle (Ranked 14.6 Spots Higher Than ADP)
George Kittle is simply a really good, reliable tight end that does not need to come off the field for blocking purposes like other top fantasy options — because he’s an elite blocker. Despite the 49ers’ depth, Kittle consistently delivers, having just put up his third season of over 1,000 yards and third of at least six touchdowns. He managed 11 touchdowns in 2022 despite a lower yardage total of 765 yards. The 49ers are loaded with talent to be sure, but Kittle’s production doesn’t seem to be impacted by that. He is just too darn steady.
Seattle Seahawks: QB21 Geno Smith (Ranked 21.8 Spots Higher Than ADP)
Seattle’s projections have fluctuated as much as any since our last evaluation of overvalued and undervalued players from each time. Through the spring into the early summer, Tyler Lockett was the leader in that regard, but his projections have dropped enough to push him to No. 98 overall — right in line with his 99.1 ADP. In that time, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has jumped way up to No. 68 against an ADP of 77.1, and now he is a leading value on this team.
The cream of the crop, though, is Geno Smith at No. 148. That is 21.8 spots higher than his 169.8 ADP.
This may sound crazy, but we actually like Smith better than Mayfield and Aaron Rodgers, both of whom are going higher than him on average. Jared Goff is Smith closest comp among quarterbacks, with Goff only four spots higher overall and projecting for less than 1 more fantasy point. However, ADP places Goff 42.3 spots ahead of Smith. Given the upside of this receiving corps in Seattle, Smith could absolutely demolish this ADP, and that upside gets him up to QB21.
