Holy wow, what a week it has been for Stokastic’s users and our NFL DFS Sims. Alex “Awesemo” Baker won the main-slate DraftKings NFL DFS Milly Maker for Week 12, several users followed it up by winning the largest DraftKings Showdown contest for Monday Night Football, and then Thursday we added ANOTHER DraftKings Milly Maker winner? That Stokastic Hall of Fame is getting filled to the brim. NFL DFS pros and newbies alike are leveraging Stokastic’s NFL Sims, NFL DFS projections, and NFL DFS ownership projections to win soooo much money. What are you waiting for? Grab a Stokastic+ NFL package today and let the tools handle the hard work for you.
Now let’s dive into yet another DraftKings NFL winning lineup and the strategy behind our latest $1 million winner!
Milly Maker Winning DraftKings NFL DFS Sims Lineup & Strategy
Stokastic Avatar donner dseep22494 is now a millionaire after submitting not one, not three, but two total lineups! That’s all it took for them to change their life in one fell swoop.
So no, you don’t need to MME to massively improve your liquidity. You just need Stokastic’s Sims. Speaking of which, we are heading to the Post-Contest Simulator to evaluate dseep22494’s lineup and other DraftKings contest data from Thursday.
The first thing to note here is the pre-contest simulated ROI for this lineup: 49.6%. Of all the very largely numerous lineups simulated, that ranks 27th overall — pretty, pretty, pretty good. Clearly, the Sims were on this one.
As for the lineup itself, dseep22494 blended the two stacks that ended up returning the most upon investment: Dolphins and Bears. All of the top 20 lineups featured either Tua Tagovailoa or Caleb Williams at quarterback and paired with a pass catcher. Dseep22494 went with Tagovailoa and a +3 stack of De’Von Achane, Tyreek Hill and Jonnu Smith, and though it took Miami a bit to get going Thursday night, every single one of those four guys hit as receivers. Dseep22494 also threw in a nice Jayden Reed runback and got two touchdowns out of him.
The Bears side of things was the obvious D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen combo, and yes, there was a bit of risk with taking both without the quarterback since they could steal production from each other, but it didn’t matter in this one. Again, it was a slow first half, but three touchdowns between them got the job done.
And then there was a third mini-Cowboys stack with Rico Dowdle and the defense. You can’t go wrong with a defensive touchdown and a 100-yard rusher who dominated usage and scored a tuddy himself.
Now let’s get into how dseep22494 handled ownership with this lineup. While a lot of top-20 finishers used Williams at quarterback, dseep22494 found differentiation with Tagovailoa, as only 15.6% of lineups rostered him compared to 34.4% with Williams. Those two had nearly identical pre-contest simulated ROI as well, so it was an easy move to Tagovailoa in at least a big chunk of lineups.
Dowdle and Achane were chalkier at running back (each between 40% and 50%), but neither was not the most rostered — that went to Jahmyr Gibbs, who was in 55.6%. There was more chalk to be found with the Bears receivers as well — both around 45% ownership — but again, pivoting off Williams made a lineup that included them much more contrarian. Plus, Hill and Reed were both in under 30%.
Dseep22494 went chalkiest at tight end with Smith and defense with the Cowboys, so the 324.2% combined ownership ultimately placed in the upper tier of lineups. As such, the little moves like Tagovailoa over Williams while sticking with Bears receivers are the things that got them the Milly, and by 7 full fantasy points, no less!
Just think: This could be you, dear reader. What luck — through Sunday, you can snag a Stokastic+ NFL subscription — or any single-sport Core or Max membership — for 50% off with promo code BLACKFRIDAY! Click the image below to sign up and apply the promo code at checkout.
