As we head into NFL DFS Week 6, there are some standout stacks, players and value spots to take advantage of. Whether you’re chasing the chalk or looking for contrarian plays, understanding ownership and projections is key to setting winning lineups. Here we will take a look at the latest Week 6 NFL DFS projections and ownership projections.
Let’s dive into some early DFS plays, going position by position with quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, tight ends and defense/special teams (DST).
But before we get started, did you know we have some of the best NFL DFS Sims available? Just click the link or tap the ad to check out the tools that have helped players win big. Don’t miss out!
NFL DFS Week 6 Projections, Ownership & More
Top Stacks for Week 6
In our recent simulations, the Green Bay Packers emerge as a strong value option with a 45 rating in our model, boasting a 9.6% chance of being the optimal stack for the week. They’re also priced affordably, with an average salary of $6,383, making them a top play.
Top Optimal Stacks:
- Dallas Cowboys: 12%
- Detroit Lions: 10.9%
- Green Bay Packers: 9.6%
When it comes to exposure from the top 150 lineups in the NFL Sims, Dak Prescott and the Cowboys lead the way at 16%, followed by Jalen Hurts (12.7%), Kirk Cousins (7.3%) and Jordan Love (5.3%).
Quarterback Projections and Ownership
Hurts tops the quarterback list both in projected fantasy points and value, making him a high-priority play. His combination of rushing and passing gives him a solid floor and ceiling in Week 6.
Top Quarterback Projections:
- Jalen Hurts: 23.87 Fantasy Points
- Will Levis: 15.01 Fantasy Points
- Justin Fields: 17.85 Fantasy Points
Top Quarterback Ownership:
- Jalen Hurts: 12.2%
- Lamar Jackson: 11.8%
- Dak Prescott & Kirk Cousins: 9.8%
Running Back Ownership and Values
There’s significant chalk building up around Bijan Robinson and Alvin Kamara. Both project as the top value running backs, though Robinson’s ownership could come down closer to Sunday. His $6,600 price tag looks like a steal, especially with the Falcons favored by 4.5 points against Carolina.
Top Running Back Ownership:
- Bijan Robinson: 44.4%
- Alvin Kamara: 33.3%
- Tony Pollard: 20.3%
If you’re looking for cheap options, Alexander Mattison ($5,800) stands out, especially with Zamir White questionable. On the flip side, Najee Harris at $5,800 also presents a strong value, as the Steelers are slight favorites in Vegas.
Wide Receiver Ownership and Projections
In the wide receiver market, Ray-Ray McCloud ($4,300) offers great value with an 11.18-fantasy point projection, followed by Jayden Reed and Drake London as top mid-range plays. CeeDee Lamb projects the highest (20.99 fantasy points) for those looking to pay up, while Amon-Ra St. Brown comes in second.
Ownership at wide receiver is flatter, with London and Reed being the only players above 20%. For contrarian plays, A.J. Brown, Mike Evans and Marvin Harrison Jr. are all under 5% owned, providing excellent leverage opportunities.
Tight End Value
The tight end position is shaping up to be a Jake Ferguson chalk week. His 29.4% projected ownership makes him a popular play due to his great matchup. For a cheaper pivot, consider Ja’Tavion Sanders ($2,600), who ranks as the second-best tight end value this week.
Top Tight End Ownership:
- Jake Ferguson: 29.4%
- Ja’Tavion Sanders: 46%
Top Player Exposures in Our NFL Sims Run
In the top 150 simulated lineups, these players show the highest exposure, making them key considerations for your builds:
- Alvin Kamara: 90.7%
- Bijan Robinson: 72%
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 50.7%
- Jake Ferguson: 50.7%
- Ja’Tavion Sanders: 46%
ROI Leaders
These players offer the highest return on investment (ROI) based on recent simulations:
- Joe Flacco: 49.4%
- Ja’Tavion Sanders: 26.6%
- Alexander Mattison: 21.2%
- Alvin Kamara: 15.4%
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 15.2%
Closing Thoughts
As you prepare your lineups for NFL DFS Week 6, keep an eye on projected ownership and leverage plays to differentiate yourself from the field. Check out our NFL DFS ownership projections to help you find the right balance between chalk and contrarian options.
