NFL DFS Picks for Seahawks-Bears: Week 17 Thursday Night Football

Week 17 Thursday Night Football has the Seattle Seahawks (8-7) heading to Chicago to face the Bears (4-11) and needing help to make the postseason, even if they win out. The Monsters of the Midway are poised to lose a 10th consecutive game for the second time in three seasons, but we’re going to find some winning NFL DFS lineups. In this breakdown, we’ll dive into key NFL DFS ownership projections and player projections for DraftKings and FanDuel, helping you build optimal rosters for Thursday Night Football.

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NFL DFS Picks: Seahawks-Bears Thursday Night Football Week 17

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NFL DFS Picks for Seahawks-Bears Thursday Night Football Week 17: Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Over the last three games, Lockett had four total targets, and he had 13 across the last six games, despite being on the field for around two-thirds of the offensive action. Things really drop off with Jake Bobo fourth among the wideouts at a thin 16 targets this season and just one in each of the last two tilts. This is a top-heavy crew in a pass-happy offense. Enjoy!

Seattle Seahawks Positional Preview

Quarterback | Seahawks-Bears NFL DFS Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 17

Geno Smith is averaging 262.5 passing yards per game, which is a career best and the third most in the league, trailing Joe Burrow (281.9) and Jared Goff (273.0). The 15 interceptions are not good and just one behind Kirk Cousins (16), and the 17 touchdowns have him sliding just inside the top 20. However, the PPR goodness is strong as Smith has 370 completions this season, trailing only Burrow (384).

Smith set the Seattle single-season completion record with a 69.8% success rate, also leading the league. This year he is currently at 70.1%, which is fourth behind Tua Tagovailoa (72.9), Goff (71.4%) and Baker Mayfield (70.9%). While the NFL nomad can move around the pocket, he is averaging 15.9 rushing yards per game and still takes too many sacks, albeit with a crummy offensive line carrying a good portion of the blame.

Kenneth Walker III is out with an ankle injury he suffered on Sunday after missing Weeks 14 and 15 with a calf issue, as well as sitting out Weeks 3 and 4 with an oblique injury. That means more of Zach Charbonnet, who tallied six of his nine tuddies this season in the four games where Walker was unavailable. Charbonnet was limited early in the week with an elbow issue, though he does not carry an injury designation at this time and participated in full on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Seattle’s offensive line has been a mess and not done any favors to the running game, but Chicago allowed nine running backs to accumulate at least 74 rushing yards in the last eight games, with three others posting at least 50 combined yards. Oh, the Bears also allowed 11 rushing touchdowns in this timeframe, which bodes well for Charbonnet.

Kenny McIntosh has secured the RB3 role, and the seventh-round rookie out of Georgia should see at least a dozen offensive plays and a handful of opportunities. If Charbonnet’s elbow acts up or this game is out of hand, McIntosh could compile double-digit opportunities. This has him solidly in play on both DraftKings ($2,400) and FanDuel ($7,000).

Tight End | Seahawks-Bears NFL DFS Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 17

Coach Mike Macdonald is not afraid to go with two-tight end sets; however, he has been more likely to roll out three-wideout sets when the opposing team does not generate a lot of quarterback pressure. The Bears’ 34 sacks are in the bottom third of the league and they recorded only 11 sacks over the last seven games, so we should expect Noah Fant to be on the field for around two-thirds of the offensive action. AJ Barner should push 30%, with Pharoah Brown working in as a run blocker and the second tight end around 25% of the time in this matchup.

Barner had at least two targets in seven of the last eight games, with four in both Weeks 11 and 12 when Fant was out. In the last four games with Fant healthy, Barner had eight targets, while Fant had 21. Brown will get a look or two, but he is not a priority for Seattle or DFS gamers.

Kicker | Seahawks-Bears NFL DFS Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 17

Jason Myers is an unassuming hero, having been in the league for a decade now, with his last six years spent in the Pacific Northwest. He has a pair of Pro Bowls to his credit, making the team in 2018 with the Jets and then again in 2022 with Seattle. Last year he was atop the leaderboard with 42 field goal attempts. This year he has converted 7 of 10 (70%) from 50-plus yards and 7 of 8 from 40 to 49 yards, making all nine of his opportunities from 40 or fewer yards. It is going to be in the low- to mid-40s on Thursday night in Chicago, with a nominal breeze in the 6 to 12 range. That is not much different than Seattle for this time of year, so Myers should be able to handle things without too much added concern.

Defense | Seahawks-Bears NFL DFS Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 17

Chicago has allowed a franchise-high 60 sacks this season, trailing only the 63 ceded by the hapless Cleveland Browns. This iteration of the Seattle defense will never be mistaken for the Legion of Boom, but it has accounted for 2.3 sacks per game, which is a tick below league average. The Seahawks were not able to get to Jordan Love in Week 15, but they did have multiple sacks in the four preceding games, with another three on Sunday against Minnesota. Somehow the Bears have just 11 turnovers this year, while Seattle is not much better with 16 takeaways through 15 matchups.

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NFL DFS Picks for Seahawks-Bears Thursday Night Football Week 17: Caleb Williams

It should not be a surprise that Cutler has four of the top five spots, but the astonishing fact is that Erik Kramer is the franchise record holder with 3,838 yards. Yes, it is true that the Bears have never had a quarterback throw for 4,000 in their entire 105-year history. The Seahawks came into existence in 1977, and there have been five seasons with at least 4,000 passing yards. Heck, Kramer’s Chicago record would rank 10th overall on the Seattle leaderboard.

Nine opposing signal-callers have thrown multiple touchdowns against Seattle this season, but none have crested over the 300-yard milestone. Williams should find room to operate against this bend-but-don’t-break defense, and he is likely to become the fifth field general to rush for at least 25 yards against the Seahawks this year, though topping 250 via the air may be a stretch.

Chicago Bears Positional Preview

Running Back | Seahawks-Bears NFL DFS Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 17

Seattle has been pretty average against opposing rushing attacks, with 11 touchdowns actually being the sixth fewest allowed this season. Combo backs have been able to get traction against the Seahawks, as Josh Jacobs, James Conner and Aaron Jones averaged 83.7 rushing yards and 33.3 receiving yards over the last three games. Jacobs had a rushing score, while Conner got his through the air.

D’Andre Swift has controlled the backfield opportunities all season, and while his efficiency is down in the running game (3.8 yards per carry), he has double-digit totes in all but one appearance. He also has 50-plus combined yards or a touchdown in 10 games, and he has an outside chance to clear 1,000 rushing yards (841) for the second consecutive season — not bad for a back on his third team in three seasons.

Roschon Johnson returned to action on Sunday after missing two games, and he was the only other running back to step between the lines on offense. Despite the changes at head coach and offensive coordinator at various points this year, the Bears have pretty much relied on only one running back to fill in for Swift each week, with Johnson having that role while healthy.

Former Seahawk Travis Homer and journeyman Darrynton Evans are likely to round out the other spots, with a chance one is inactive.

Wide Receiver | Seahawks-Bears NFL DFS Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 17

Quick, name the fourth wideout on the Bears. Technically, it was returner extraordinaire DeAndre Carter, but he was placed on injured reserve and will miss the rest of the season. He had 137 of the 188 offensive snaps that did not go to the “big three,” with Collin Johnson (11, six) and Tyler Scott (four, one) filling in for Carter the last two games.

Tonight the Stokastic projections have Keenan Allen slated for 8.7 targets, DJ Moore earmarked for 7.7 and rookie Rome Odunze looking at 6.2. Allen had 13-plus targets in three of the last five games (54 total), while Moore had at least eight in each of the last four (42 total). Moore also got a few snaps as the running back over the last couple games as the team looks to get the ball in his hands more.

Odunze is the downfield threat, which saw him average half a dozen targets over the last four games, but he did have 10 targets in Weeks 11 and 12. He may not get more than a couple of mid- to deep-downfield targets, with the Seahawks looking to keep everything in front of their secondary. In turn that should lead to a solid workload for Allen and Moore, giving the veteran duo more DFS appeal.

Tight End | Seahawks-Bears NFL DFS Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 17

Cole Kmet was on the field for 95% of the offensive plays over the last seven games. While that is an amazing on-field presence, he had a scant six targets over the last four games. He should get a couple looks tonight, but finding a path to DFS glory without a touchdown is going to be nigh on impossible.

Former Seahawk Gerald Everett should see action on eight or so plays, but he had only one target in the last seven games. Marcedes Lewis hasn’t had a target over the last eight games, despite averaging just over a dozen snaps per appearance in this stretch.

Kicker | Seahawks-Bears NFL DFS Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 17

Veteran Cairo Santos keeps on keeping on, with this being his fifth season in the Windy City. Over the last two-plus years, he has converted 18 of 23 (78%) from beyond 50 yards. Points after touchdowns are an adventure, though the team does like him for kickoffs. That and limiting himself to just two missed extra points over his last 56 attempts have given him some security.

Defense | Seahawks-Bears NFL DFS Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 17

Chicago has 34 sacks this season, which is in the bottom third of the league. That has led to an anemic 11 sacks over the last seven games and just half a dozen takeaways. Smith suffered multiple sacks in six of the last seven games (24 total), with eight interceptions.

NFL DFS Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 17: Rankings

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Prefer to see it in action? Watch as the Single-Lineup Simulator breaks down a Seahawks-Bears DraftKings lineup for Week 17, providing actionable insights for Thursday Night Football. Ready to level up your DFS game? Choose from our Lite, Core or Max NFL packages and start optimizing your lineups today!

Top 10 NFL DFS Showdown Picks for Seahawks-Bears

1. Zach Charbonnet: Captain, My Captain!
2. Jonathan Smith-Njigba: Would have rated the top spot if Walker were playing; very much in contention for the multiplier slot across the DFS sites.
3. Caleb Williams: Rushing upside is intriguing tonight.
4. DJ Moore and Keenan Allen: Moore is better on FanDuel with the $1,500 discount, while Allen gets the nod on DraftKings with the full-PPR scoring and a nominal $200 discount.
5. DK Metcalf: Volume has been dropping with the ascension of Smith-Njigba; Metcalf is still capable of scoring from anywhere on the field if he gets a crease.
6. Jason Myers: Salary relief and used to kicking outdoors.
7. Geno Smith: Lack of touchdown consistency makes him tricky to trust in the multiplier slot; terrific Flex play on both sites.
8. D’Andre Swift: Wide range of outcomes from decimal back to slate-breaker.
9. Cairo Santos: Plenty of outdoor experience with Kansas City and Chicago over the last decade.
10. Noah Fant: Interesting on DraftKings ($3,600), just besting his teammate below.

Secondary Options

1. Tyler Lockett: Once a vaunted deep threat, he is more of a possession option now.
2. Chicago D/ST: Smith should be good for at least one turnover and a couple of sacks.
3. Kenny McIntosh: Cheaper than the kickers and defenses but a potentially nonexistent floor.
4. Seattle D/ST: Williams is a gift to DFS defenses.
5. Rochon Johnson: Next man up if anything befalls Swift in-game.

Lottery Tickets

1. Cole Kmet: Sadly, no fantasy points for number of snaps.
2. AJ Barner: Live for a surprising performance; could also be invisible.
3. Tyler Scott: Likely Chicago returner with Carter out, 50/50 to get a target.
4. Gerald Everett and Travis Homer: Former Seahawks brought over by the now-fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron, who had Everett under him with the Los Angeles Rams as well. This duo has been out of the spotlight for weeks now, but we all love a good narrative.
5. Jake Bobo, George Holani, Marcedes Lewis, Pharoah Brown and Darrynton Evans: Likely to be on the field but have a combined projection of 3.7 offensive opportunities.
6. Dareke Young, Cody White, Jaelon Darden, Jim Zorn and Jim McMahon: Not tonight.

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