NFL DFS Picks for Saints-Packers: Week 16 Monday Night Football

Monday Night Football has a 41.5 projected total as New Orleans (5-9) marches into Green Bay (10-4) with the Saints set to battle the Packers on the frozen tundra or Lambeau Field as two-touchdown road dogs. The lofty total and massive 14-point spread for this Week 16 showdown demand sharp NFL DFS decisions. Here we will dive into the key NFL DFS ownership projections and player projections for DraftKings and FanDuel as we break down everything you need to build winning lineups for the MNF slate.

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NFL DFS Picks: Saints-Packers Monday Night Football Week 16

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NFL DFS Picks for Saints-Packers Monday Night Football Week 16: Spencer Rattler

In addition to Carr, the Saints will be without Alvin Kamara, Taysom Hill, Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed and even Bub Means. Jake Haener started last week, but Rattler relieved him in the second half of a close 20-19 loss to Washington. New Orleans was eliminated from playoff contention this week, so do not expect any of the injured regulars to return this season.

That means we should see a bunch of youngsters and fringe veterans trying to impress for another chance next year. Though with the wholesale changes across every meaningful position other than tight end, it is hard to believe this offensive unit will be functional against the Green Bay starters. Heck, even Rattler isn’t safe since Haener was a fourth-round selection in 2023, giving each similar draft capital, and neither is likely to be a regular starter in the future.

New Orleans Saints Positional Preview

Running Back | Saints-Packers NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 16

Oft-injured Kendre Miller has 69 (nice) career carries for 286 yards and two tuddies. Jamaal Williams will back him up, and we should note that the Saints signed Clyde Edwards-Helaire last week after he cleared waivers. Edwards-Helaire did not play for Kansas City this season, and it will be a surprise if he is active tonight.

Turning to the Stokastic NFL stat projections, Miller is slated for 13.33 carries and 58.45 yards, with a 30% probability of reaching pay dirt. Williams is coming in around half that: 5.68 carries, 24.91 yards and a 15% likelihood of finding the end zone. On the passing front, Miller has been allocated 3.61 targets, culminating in 2.42 catches and 18.6 yards. Williams again projects for around half of that production.

When it comes to red zone touchdowns, the team likes Williams and is not particularly fond of Miller, so expect the veteran if it is a short-yardage opportunity.

Wide Receiver | Saints-Packers NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 16

Marquez Valdes-Scantling began his season in Buffalo, getting his walking papers after the Bills traded for Amari Cooper. New Orleans signed the NFL nomad the following week, with Valdes-Scantling entering the starting lineup in Week 9. Yes, this is a “Remember Me?!” game for Valdes-Scantling, who spent the first four seasons of his career in Green Bay, but the savvy veteran is dealing with a chest injury and an illness, so he very well may be inactive rather than running wind sprints in the frigid weather.

Kevin Austin Jr. (who?!?!?!) played in the last five games, getting a spot start in Week 13. The former Notre Dame wideout was undrafted in 2022, getting training camp time with the Jacksonville Jaguars then popping up with the Birmingham Stallions of the UFL. New Orleans brought him in over the summer, and he ended up earning a spot on the practice squad. Austin had 11 targets over the last three games, so he should see a handful tonight.

Veterans Cedrick Wilson Jr. and Dante Pettis round out the crew, with both looking to show a little something tonight so they can find a landing spot next year. If Valdez-Scantling is out, rookie Mason Tipton is likely to be active.

Tight End | Saints-Packers NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 16

Foster Moreau and Juwan Johnson will at least provide competency at the tight end position. Moreau has four scores, while Johnson has three, with each notching a touchdown over the last fortnight. Moreau is the better blocker, but he has a decent set of hands and he had two red zone targets in the last game. Of course, those were his only two over the last four tilts, while Johnson had one red zone opportunity in each of the last four games.

Kicker | Saints-Packers NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 16

Blake Grupe has performed his professional duties outside only seven times in his two seasons as an NFL placekicker. After four seasons as the main placekicker for Arkansas State, Grupe landed in Notre Dame for his final season of eligibility. He was not drafted, which is by no means a knock against him, but it is a reference point. In his 31 NFL games, he has been serviceable, connecting on 12 of 17 (71%) of his 50-plus yard opportunities. The 26-year-old has failed to convert only two of 71 point after touchdown attempts.

Defense | Saints-Packers NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 16

New Orleans had a whopping eight sacks last week, and over the last seven games, it had multiple sacks six times and three or more on four occasions. Sadly, the Packers ceded only six sacks in the last seven games, which leaves the Saints D/ST needing a pick-6 or scoop and score to reach DFS relevance tonight.

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NFL DFS Picks for Saints-Packers Monday Night Football Week 16: Josh Jacobs

What is also crazy to ponder is how this game is going to play out. Yes, the Pack Attack should take care of business at Lambeau Field, but how they get there could transpire in a myriad of ways. The most likely course is that Jacobs carries the team to a first half lead, which then has his involvement in the second half in question. Of course, with how banged up the New Orleans defense is, we could also see the Green Bay passing game post a couple of quick touchdowns. But wait … there’s more … the defense could also have a say in this with a pick-6 or a scoop and score, which would potentially turn Jacobs into a spectator with very little effort on his part.

Chris Brooks has surpassed Emanuel Wilson as the RB2, though a lot of that is due to his involvement in the passing game. Ten of Brooks’ 11 targets came in the last six games, with Wilson last getting a look in Week 9. Both players are undrafted free agents, and neither is assured of being on the team next season.

Brooks is going to see action no matter what, while Wilson is most likely to get carries to salt the game away in the second half. You can play this duo on the same roster, and both can be paired with Jacobs for the scenario of the former Alabama stalwart getting a couple of early scores then passing the baton to his backups.

Green Bay Packers Positional Preview

Quarterback | Saints-Packers NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 16

Interceptions have been an issue for Jordan Love, with his 11 this season already tying last year’s mark. He does have 55 passing touchdowns since becoming a full-time starter, which help offset his miscues. Aside from the interceptions, the rest of his stat line is comparable between these two seasons from a passing perspective. Despite being a mobile quarterback, Love does not do much running outside of the pocket. Last year he averaged 14.5 rushing yards per game and added four scores. This year that has evaporated to 6.3 yards per game and one touchdown.

There is a chance we will see Malik Willis for the latter stages of the game, particularly if things are as one-sided as the spread indicates. That is less about considering Willis for DFS but a reminder that Love has a distinct route towards limited playing time, similar to Jacobs.

Wide Receiver | Saints-Packers NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 16

Jayden Reed is the dynamic jack of all trades, Romeo Doubs is the steady presence and Christian Watson is the downfield wild card. That still leaves Dontayvion Wicks, who is pushed out of this crowded mix with everyone healthy. Bo Melton is likely to be active, though targets will be scarce, and Malik Heath is probably going to be inactive. Remember when Aaron Rodgers was complaining that there were not enough pass-catchers after Green Bay traded Davante Adams? Sometimes people really do get exactly what they deserve.

Back to DFS, anyone is live for a touchdown, though voluminous opportunities are unlikely — well, with any certainty. On DraftKings, only $1,000 separates the top trio, while FanDuel has Reed ($12,500) and Doubs ($11,500) ahead of Watson (9,500).

Tight End | Saints-Packers NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 16

Luke Musgrave was injured in Week 4, and since that time, Tucker Kraft has 39 targets, with the rest of the tight ends combining for seven opportunities. Five have gone to Ben Sims, while Andrew Beck and John FitzPatrick have one each. Beck is out of the picture completely, and FitzPatrick may as well be, as he is averaging only six offensive plays per game. Sims is the legitimate TE2, but the undrafted second-year player out of Baylor would likely be out of a job if Musgrave had not been hurt.

Kicker | Saints-Packers NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 16

Brandon McManus is very familiar with the outdoor life as a kicker who spent the first nine years of his career in Denver and one warmer respite in Jacksonville last season, only to head into the icebox this year as the Green Bay placekicker. To be clear, kicking in the thin air of the Mile High City boosted his distance, so it makes sense that his long-distance opportunities have been limited over the last two seasons. The veteran can handle the elements, but his best work is done inside of 45 yards.

Defense | Saints-Packers NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 16

For everything else falling apart for New Orleans, the offensive line has actually been solid this year. Carr was sacked only eight times in his 10 starts, though Rattler and Haener have been sacked 20 times in their limited on-field action. The Packers are averaging a strong 2.9 sacks per game while ranking fifth with 28 takeaways.

NFL DFS Picks for Saints-Packers Monday Night Football Week 16: Rankings

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Now let’s dive into the final rankings for the Saints-Packers Monday Night Football slate!

Top 10 NFL DFS Showdown Picks for Saints-Packers

1. Josh Jacobs: Captain, My Captain.
2. Jordan Love: Best way to capture the Green Bay passing game.
3. Spencer Rattler: He is one of two starting quarterbacks in the player pool.
4. Green Bay D/ST: Rattler or Haener, it doesn’t matter.
5. Kendre Miller: Too late to save most Best Ball teams.
6. Brandon McManus: How many drives will end without a touchdown or a field goal attempt tonight, leaving the Packers likely to get several short-field chances off of turnovers?
7. Tucker Kraft: Competing with the wideouts but not the other tight ends on the Packers.
8. Romeo Doubs: Best combination of salary and median fantasy projection.
9. Jayden Reed: Hopefully, his coaches will not forget about him again. Also returns punts.
10. Christian Watson: One broken coverage and he will be making the Lambeau Leap.

Secondary Options

1. Marquez Valdes-Scantling: It would be more interesting in warmer weather and if he weren’t hurt.
2. Blake Grupe: Will the team be able to get it within his range?
3. Juwan Johnson and Foster Moreau: Let personal preference be your guide.
4. Emanuel Wilson and Chris Brooks: Expect a quick hook for Jacobs if at all possible.
5. New Orleans D/ST: Solid unit but likely to be on the field a lot and gassed.

Lottery Tickets

1. Dontayvion Wicks: Things are crowded with everyone healthy.
2. Kevin Austin Jr., Cedric Wilson Jr. and Dante Pettis: Last men standing; Wilson or Pettis may return punts.
3. Jamaal Williams: Perhaps a “Remember Me?!” touchdown for old times and holiday cheers. Also returns kickoffs.
4. Bo Melton, Malik Willis and Jake Haener: Could see second half fun, though a stretch for the full-game contests.
5. Ben Sims, Dallin Holker, Jordan Mims, John FitzPatrick, Malik Heath, Adam Prentice and Andrew Beck: The rest.

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