NFL DFS Picks for Week 14: Alvin Kamara Cashing?

Week 14 offers another 10-game NFL main slate this Sunday. In this space, we’ll walk through the top NFL DFS Picks for Week 14, including the top stacking options, GPP plays and cash game value.

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NFL DFS Picks for Week 14: Best Cash & GPP Picks This Week

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NFL DFS Picks for Week 14: Quarterback

Cash Game Options:

Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Will Levis

GPP Pick: Aidan O’Connell (LV): $4,800

Unlike a lot of slates where there is a clear top quarterback on the board, Week 14 doesn’t offer that same clarity. Mayfield, Darnold and Levis are garnering the most ownership, but none of them are projected to be so highly owned that I’m looking to get away from them in large field tournaments. That said, there isn’t much separating Mayfield, Darnold and Levis from some other signal callers on the slate, and Aidan O’Connell is falling through the cracks in a pretty big way at $4,800.

Simply put, Tampa Bay is a team we want to target in DFS. Its offense is elite, and its defense seemingly can’t get off the field, resulting in a perfect storm for DFS purposes. Though O’Connell is far from a proven commodity, he acquitted himself nicely a week ago in a near upset of the Chiefs, and there’s plenty of room for error at his $4,800 price tag. As of this writing, O’Connell is projected to be just 7% owned on DraftKings. Stokastic’s Sims would consider that number a mistake, as O’Connell is currently showing up in 13.3 of the top 300 lineups sorted by ROI.

Other NFL DFS GPP quarterback picks: Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Tua Tagovailoa, Caleb Williams

NFL DFS Week 14 Picks: Running Back

Cash & GPP Pick: Alvin Kamara (NO): $8,000

Alvin Kamara is arguably the top overall play in Week 14, and he’s a lock in both cash games and tournaments on DraftKings. Kamara already has the best workload of any running back in the NFL, and with Taysom Hill now lost for the season, he likely will have the ball in his hands even more going forward. Matched up with a Giants defense that has been getting shredded by running backs all season and is now missing star defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence, Kamara is woefully underpriced on DraftKings at $8,000.

Considering Kamara is projected to be by far the highest owned player on DraftKings at 44.8%, he’s the first player to lock into cash game lineups. That 46.2% number still isn’t as high as it should be in tournaments, however, as Kamara is currently showing up as the most positively leveraged player in Stokastic’s Sims. While these numbers could change slightly as lock approaches, Kamara is currently showing up in a whopping 73.3% of the top 300 lineups, and there’s a strong case to just playing him everywhere.

Other NFL DFS Cash Game & GPP running back picks: Saquon Barkley, Tony Pollard, Najee Harris, D’Andre Swift, Isaac Guerendo, Braelon Allen

NFL DFS Picks for Week 14: Wide Receiver

Cash & GPP Pick: Jauan Jennings (SF): $5,200

Truth be told, there isn’t much to like about San Francisco right now. The 49ers’ running game is a mess without Christian McCaffrey, and key contributors from years past like Deebo Samuel look a year older and a step slower. As a result of injuries and other players regressing, Jauan Jennings has emerged as quarterback Brock Purdy’s top target, and he’s not getting nearly the love he deserves on DraftKings.

As of this writing, Jennings is projected to be one of the highest owned wide receivers on DraftKings at 20%. In cash games, Jennings’ $5.2K price tag helps immensely with roster construction, and considering his projected ownership, it makes sense just to plug him in and move along. It’s a similar story in tournaments, where Stokastic’s Sims are much higher on Jennings than the field is projected to be. In a game I like a lot in tournaments, Jennings is currently in 40.3% of the top 300 lineups, and he might look even better in GPP’s than he does in cash games.

Other NFL cash game wide receiver picks: Justin Jefferson, Mike Evans, Drake London, Jerry Jeudy, Calvin Ridley, Jakobi Meyers

Other NFL DFS GPP wide receiver picks: Tyreek Hill, Malik Nabers, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Bears WRs, Kevin Austin Jr.


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NFL DFS Week 14 Picks: Tight End

Cash Game Options:

Brock Bowers OR Trey McBride

GPP Pick: Cade Otton (TB): $4,400

If either Bowers or McBride if your choice at tight end for tournaments, I certainly won’t be the one talking you off of it. Both Bowers and McBride are elite options, and if you can get to one of them without sacrificing other parts of your lineup, by all means. That being said, however, both Bowers and McBride are pretty expensive, while Buccaneers’ tight end Cade Otton is cheap at $4,400 and falling through the cracks on DraftKings.

As of this writing, Otton is projected to be a modest 15.1% owned on DraftKings. Considering Otton is showing up in 37% of the top 300 lineups in the Sims, it’s clear he’s top tight end to target in GPP’s.

Other NFL DFS Cash Game & GPP tight end picks: David Njoku, Evan Engram, Cole Kmet

NFL DFS Picks for Week 14: DST

Cash & GPP DST Options: Steelers, Saints, Titans

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Matt Belman graduated from Tulane University with a degree in Consumer Behavior. He has been playing and analyzing DFS full time since 2018. He has qualified for the 2023 DraftKings NBA World Championship (5x), the 2023 DraftKings MLB World Championship (2x), the 2023 FanDuel MLB World Championship (2x) and the 2023 DraftKings NFL World Championship. You can find him on X at @fantasytipsmatt.

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