DraftKings gives you two pitcher slots, creating a perfect chance to make a bold move in a crowded player pool. Most players go for the safest, most popular pitchers, hoping their batters steal the show. Sure, it sounds smart, but it also makes it harder for your lineup to shine and crack the top 5 in a large-field GPP. That’s why we need some sneaky MLB DFS pivots.
In this breakdown, we’re on the hunt for pitchers who can deliver a massive ROI and remain under the radar. Using Stokastic’s Top Pitchers Tool, we can spot the chalk picks and identify those projected for high leverage in contests. The magic lies in finding pitchers with high leverage but low ownership to unlock your lineup’s true potential.
So let’s dive into today’s top pitchers that hit these sweet spots and uncover the best MLB DFS pivots.
Best MLB DFS Pivots Today: Jose Berrios and More (May 31)
Luis Severino ($8,000)
According to Stokastic’s Top Pitchers Tool, Severino is coming in at 5.6% ownership in a matchup with a struggling Diamondbacks offense. In the last 14 days, the D-backs have the 10th-highest strikeout rate at 23.5%, the third-lowest ISO at .103, the third-worst wOBA at .267 and the third-worst wRC+ at 71. Like I said, they are STRUGGLING. While Severino doesn’t have the most appealing strikeout stuff, he has been slightly better when pitching at home this season, allowing a .188 batting average and a 1.08 WHIP.
Severino’s price tag is the real hook for this pivot. On such a massive slate like we have tonight, an $8,000 pitcher can offer some great salary relief as a SP2, allowing us to roster some popular bats like the Dodgers against Dakota Hudson or the Red Sox against Kenta Maeda.Â
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Jose Berrios ($8,200)
Another pitcher who has slightly better numbers at home, Berrios is projected for 11% ownership against the Pirates, who struggle on the road. When traveling, the Pirates have the fourth-highest strikeout rate at 26.3%, the seventh-lowest ISO at .122 and the eighth-lowest wOBA at .297. This mixes in perfectly with the fact that Berrios is a better pitcher at home. On the season, Berrios has a 0.94 WHIP and a 3.64 xFIP when pitching in Toronto, compared to his 1.20 WHIP and 4.22 xFIP on the road.
We can also say we are getting Berrios at a discounted price tonight compared to his price tag a couple games ago, which was north of $8,500. I love Berrios’ ability to go six-plus innings, and he can potentially be in for a good night if he gets going early.
If you need some more tips on how to manage your bankroll, Steve Buzzard has a great guide here on the biggest bankroll mistakes DFS players make and how you can avoid them! Check it out HERE.
