With DraftKings having two roster spots for pitchers, it creates an opportunity to take a stand in a limited player pool. To play it safe, most users like to roster the chalkiest pitchers in hopes of their bats being the main focal point of their lineup. While in theory it is a great strategy, it limits a lineup’s ability to stand out from the rest and ultimately land in the top 5 of a large-field GPP. That’s why we need MLB DFS pivots.
The goal in this breakdown is to find which pitchers can give lineups the opportunity to return massive ROI while being undrowned across the field. Using Stokastic’s Top Pitchers Tool, we are able to determine the pitchers that are expected to be chalk, along with the pitchers that are projected for high leverage in contests. The correlation of high leverage but low ownership is a crucial piece to unlocking a lineup’s potential.
Let’s dive into which pitchers stand out in both of these categories to find the best MLB DFS pivots for today.
Best MLB DFS Pivots Today: Garrett Crochet and More (May 21)
Garrett Crochet ($9,500)
Crochet takes on the Blue Jays tonight and is projected for 11% ownership as the highest-priced pitcher on the slate. Toronto doesn’t strike out at a high rate, but Crochet does. He has been dominant this season, with his 33.7% strikeout rate being the second highest among starting pitchers, and he also has the sixth-lowest xFIP at 2.62. In Stokastic’s Top Pitchers Tool, Crochet has the third0highest chance at being a top-2 pitcher at 15.3%, along with positive leverage at 4%, both numbers being indicators of a great GPP play. With a projected 33% of the field expected to roster Yusei Kikuchi, Crochet could be a great pivot for only $200 more.
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Kyle Bradish ($8,800)
Bradish is currently projected for 4.9% ownership in a matchup against the Cardinals tonight. St. Louis has been hot recently but still has strikeout ability, with a 24.7% strikeout rate in its last six games. Meanwhile, Bradish has had a decent first three starts, not allowing more than two runs in any contest and striking out 27.9% of hitters. He looks great in Stokastic’s Top Pitchers Tool as the highest-leveraged pitcher at 9.2% and projecting to have a 14.1% chance of being a top-2 arm. Pairing the low ownership with his 14.1% top-2 chance makes Bradish a top target when looking to differentiate our pitcher pool tonight.
Get started finding the best MLB DFS pivots by using Stokastic tools today! Check out all we have to offer here!