With DraftKings having two roster spots for pitchers, it creates an opportunity to take a stand in a limited player pool. To play it safe, the majority of users like to roster the chalkiest pitchers in hopes of their bats being the main focal point of their lineup. While in theory it is a great strategy, it limits a lineup’s ability to stand out from the rest and ultimately land in the top 5 of a large-field GPP. That’s why we need MLB DFS pivots.
The goal in this breakdown is to find which pitchers can give lineups the opportunity to return massive ROI while being undrowned across the field. Using Stokastic’s Top Pitchers Tool, we are able to determine the pitchers that are expected to be chalk, along with the pitchers that are projected for high leverage in contests. The correlation of high leverage but low ownership is a crucial piece to unlocking a lineup’s potential.
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Let’s dive into which pitchers stand out in both of these categories to find the best MLB DFS pivots for today’s three-game main slate.
Best MLB DFS Pivots Today: Carlos Carrasco (April 18)
Carlos Carrasco ($7,400)
With only three games scheduled for today’s main slate on DraftKings, there is a very limited pitcher pool. Carrasco looks good across the board in Stokastic’s Top Pitchers Tool, projecting as the second-highest-leveraged pitcher at 12.5% and for a 33.1% chance at being a top-2 value pitcher, all while pulling 18.4% ownership, second lowest among all pitchers.
Though Carlos has a measly 20% strikeout rate this season, his matchup can be considered a positive, going against a Red Sox team that has the fourth-highest strikeout rate in the league at 26.8%. We are getting some help from Mother Nature to go along with his positive matchup, with the temperature at first pitch forecasted to be a crisp 47 degrees and wind gusts up to 20 mph from right field — very friendly pitcher weather. It’s going to be hard to get different with so few options today, but with Ryan Pepiot ($8,100) and Griffin Canning ($6,800) both projecting for over 50% ownership, Carrasco fairs as a solid pivot at less than 20% ownership.
Get started finding the best MLB DFS pivots by using Stokastic tools today! Check out all we have to offer here!
