In the midst of a five-game afternoon slate, the baseball gods bless us with a seven-game MLB main slate that locks at 7:20 p.m. ET on DraftKings. Using Stokastic’s MLB DFS Top Stack and Top Pitchers tools, let’s dive into the player pool to discuss the best MLB DFS contrarian picks and stacks for today’s action.
One of the keys to building a winning MLB DFS lineup is differentiation, so without contrarian picks like the ones below, you’ll struggle to separate from the pack in tournaments. Subscribe today for access to our industry-leading resources, including our lineup generator (available for NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA), our DFS simulation tools (available for NFL, NBA, MLB, PGA and MMA) and our industry-leading projections for every sport.
Editor Note Flash MLB Sale! Use the promo code MLB MOOKIE for 50 percent off any of our MLB products!!
MLB DFS Contrarian Picks Today: Wednesday, May 29 (Main Slate)
MLB DFS Contrarian Pitcher
Yankees-Angels: Tyler Anderson
Stokastic’s Top 2 Pitcher Rate
DraftKings: 7.1%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $7,300
Even with only seven games in play tonight, there are good pitching options across every price point. As such, ownership is pretty spread out amongst arms, with nine pitchers projected to be double digit owned. That leaves us with only a few contrarian pitchers to choose from, and Angels left-hander Tyler Anderson has emerged as the best of the bunch.
Matched up with the Yankees at home, this is clearly not an ideal spot for Anderson. That said, Anderson has actually pitched really well this season, and he’s in excellent form coming off two of his best starts of the season. After putting up a combined 46.6 fantasy points in matchups against the Rangers and Astros, Anderson is still getting forgotten about on DraftKings as only Ty Blach and Chris Flexen are projected for less ownership.
Anderson has undoubtedly been the Angels best starting pitcher so far this season. Coming into tonight averaging 17.5 DraftKings points per game, Anderson sports a 2.52 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 44:23 K:BB through 64.1 innings. Though his 4.62 xERA calls for some negative regression, the field is acting as if that regression is guaranteed to come tonight. Not only is Anderson getting no love, but the Yankees are also projected to be the third highest owned stack on the board.
As of this writing, Anderson is projected to be a Top-2 pitcher 7.1% of the time this slate plays out. With only 1.1% of lineups expected to roster him, it makes sense why he looks so good from a leverage perspective. These numbers aren’t even taking into consideration the ownership the Yankees are pulling, only making Anderson look that much better.
For a limited time only, you can use promo code MLBSIMSWEEK to get access to one week of our industry-leading MLB Sims Max, Sims Data or Data packages for 40% off by clicking here!
MLB DFS Contrarian Stack
Astros-Mariners: Astros
Stokastic’s Top Stack Projection
DraftKings: 4.9%
Ownership Projection
DraftKings: 2.7%
Unlike at pitcher where ownership is pretty spread out, three stacks are projected to get the majority of love tonight. As of this writing, 41.5% of the total ownership on this slate is going to the Guardians, Yankees and Blue Jays. While these three offenses look very good in their own rights, almost every other stack is going to be contrarian. Although I don’t love the spot Houston is in matched up with George Kirby in Seattle, The Astros aren’t getting nearly the love they should be getting on a small seven-game slate.
Kirby is one of the top young pitchers in baseball and someone I very rarely like to target bats against. Stacking the Astros here is simply a play on their talent, not ‘wanting’ to pick on Kirby in any way shape or form. That being said, Kirby isn’t impervious to getting hit, and anytime we can get an offense as good as Houston at such low ownership it’s worth at least thinking about. Surely the Guardians, Yankees and Blue Jays are in better spots on paper, but when Houston has success, their upside is just as high as any offense in baseball.
Houston currently projects to be the top stack 4.9% of the time this slate plays out. With only 2.7% of the field expected to stack them, the Astros are the top contrarian stack on the slate.
If you need some more tips on how to manage your bankroll, Steve Buzzard has a great guide here on the biggest bankroll mistakes DFS players make and how you can avoid them! Check it out HERE.
Other Contrarian Stacks to Consider
Twins, Braves, Royals
Editor Note Flash MLB Sale! Use the promo code MLB MOOKIE for 50 percent off any of our MLB products!! Looking for a way to boost your MLB DFS success? Check out our MLB DFS Sims Tools! Our simulation tools have helped numerous pros and users win big in DraftKings and FanDuel DFS contests across several sports, and they can help you too! Don’t believe us? Read up on the Stokastic Hall of Fame and see for yourself.
