DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today: Trey Murphy the Last Pel Standing (December 12)

We get a real slate for once — three games tonight, a nice change from the split slates we’ve had earlier this week. Let’s break down the best DraftKings NBA DFS picks for Dec. 12, using Stokastic’s NBA DFS Sims, NBA DFS projections and NBA DFS ownership projections to help build high-ROI lineups.

DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today, December 12

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5 – Keegan Murray

Position: SF/PF | Salary: $5,700
Projections: 13.6 Points, 7.3 Rebounds, 1.8 Assists, 1.8 Stocks

Murray has been struggling to hit 3’s this season, but I’m not convinced this is a permanent decline. The shot should come back. On a three-game slate, the multi-positional eligibility and his salary make him an appealing option. He’s playing 36 minutes per game, and I’m banking on some positive regression in his shooting to bolster his value.

4 – Jrue Holiday

Position: PG | Salary: $5,000
Projections: 12.6 Points, 4.4 Rebounds, 4.9 Assists, 1.6 Stocks

If Jayson Tatum is ruled out tonight, all the Boston Celtics will get a significant bump in value, including Holiday. Even if Tatum plays, Holiday still looks solid against a beatable Detroit team. Keep an eye on injury news, as it could make Holiday even more appealing as a value play.

Update: Tatum is OUT.

3 – Jakob Poeltl

Position: C | Salary: $7,500
Projections: 17.0 Points, 12.1 Rebounds, 3.0 Assists, 2.6 Stocks

With Scottie Barnes sidelined, Poeltl’s usage has climbed to around 22% in similar situations. He’s playing 34 minutes a night and brings both defensive stats and rebounding upside. The matchup against Bam Adebayo and the Heat is tough but manageable, making Poeltl a strong center option on this slate.

2 – Jayson Tatum

Position: SF/PF | Salary: $9,800
Projections: 26.5 Points, 8.7 Rebounds, 5.9 Assists, 1.7 Stocks

If Tatum plays tonight, he’s the best pay-up option on the slate, and I don’t think it’s particularly close. However, if Tatum sits, I’d likely replace him with Jaylen Brown in this spot. Be sure to check for updates later tonight, as this news will have a massive impact on the slate.

Update: Tatum is OUT.

1 – Trey Murphy

Position: SG/SF | Salary: $6,500
Projections: 20.4 Points, 6.1 Rebounds, 2.7 Assists, 1.8 Stocks

With no Brandon Ingram, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado or Jordan Hawkins, Murphy takes on an expanded role. He’s incredibly versatile with his positional eligibility, making him a fit in nearly every lineup build. On a three-game slate, his combination of value, playing time and role makes him the easiest name to click today.

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Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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