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DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today: The Heat Is On (March 27)

Josh Engleman here, ready to dive into today’s NBA DFS picks on DraftKings. We’re breaking down the top plays using Stokastic’s NBA DFS Sims, NBA DFS projections and NBA DFS ownership projections to help you craft winning lineups. Late swap will be crucial, so staying plugged in is a must. Be sure to catch Deeper Dive at 6 p.m. ET for expert analysis, and keep an eye on Stokastic’s NBA DFS Starting Lineups Page for real-time injury and rotation updates. Let’s get to it!

DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today, March 27

NBA Sims & Data

5 – Paolo Banchero

Position: PF | Salary: $9,900
Projections: 28.8 Points, 8.4 Rebounds, 5.2 Assists, 1.7 Stocks

Banchero tops the high-priced options today, taking on a Dallas team dealing with multiple questionable players, including Anthony Davis. Banchero is logging 35 to 36 minutes per game and producing across the board. His 50-point fantasy projection makes him a strong play, and if Davis sits, this matchup gets even juicier. Banchero reaches the 60-fantasy-point mark 33% of the time, giving him serious upside.

4 – Tyler Herro

Position: PG | Salary: $8,200
Projections: 25.7 Points, 5.6 Rebounds, 6.1 Assists, 1.3 Stocks

Herro projects as an excellent play against Atlanta. He’s logging heavy minutes (36 per game), and the Hawks play at a fast pace and offer below-average defense, making this an ideal fantasy spot. Herro’s role as the primary scorer and playmaker is further strengthened by a weak supporting cast, ensuring plenty of shot volume. At his price, a 51-fantasy-point performance would be ideal, and he reaches that threshold 37% of the time.

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3 – Bam Adebayo

Position: PF/C | Salary: $8,300
Projections: 20.0 Points, 10.6 Rebounds, 5.0 Assists, 2.1 Stocks

The second Miami Heat player to crack the top 5 today, Adebayo benefits from an elite matchup against the Hawks. His power forward eligibility is a major plus, giving DFS players roster flexibility. He also provides defensive upside. At this price, you’re looking for around 52 fantasy points, a mark he hits 38% of the time. With Alec Burks and Duncan Robinson both questionable, Adebayo’s role could become even stronger depending on Miami’s available personnel.

2 – De’Andre Hunter

Position: SF/PF | Salary: $4,800
Projections: 18.2 Points, 4.5 Rebounds, 1.8 Assists, 0.9 Stocks

With Evan Mobley already ruled out and Ty Jerome questionable, Hunter is poised to step into a starting role for Cleveland. He’s projected for 28 minutes, though that number could shift slightly, and faces a San Antonio team that remains one of the worst in the league. Without Victor Wembanyama, the Spurs defense takes a big hit, making this an even more favorable spot. Hunter’s fantasy point projection at this price tag offer strong value, especially if additional minutes come his way.

1 – Colby Jones

Position: SG/SF | Salary: $3,200
Projections: 7.9 Points, 5.2 Rebounds, 2.2 Assists, 2.1 Stocks

We’re still waiting on a lot of injury news, but as things stand, Jones is the top value play on the board. The Wizards are on a back-to-back, and we don’t yet know the status of Khris Middleton, Marcus Smart or if Washington will rest additional players. Jones has been playing at least 24 minutes a night when the Wizards are missing bodies, making him a viable cheap play. His fantasy production sits in the 0.82- to 0.85-fantasy points-per-minute range, which, combined with a great matchup against Indiana, makes him an optimal value choice. Keep an eye on news, as additional injuries could solidify his spot or push him down as new value emerges.

Author
Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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