DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today: So Much Uncertainty, So Much Value (March 24)

Welcome back, everyone! Josh Engleman here, breaking down the top DraftKings NBA DFS picks for Mondayโ€™s slate. As always, weโ€™re using Stokasticโ€™s NBA DFS Sims, NBA DFS projections and NBA DFS ownership projections to help you build the best lineups. With so many teams on back-to-backs and plenty of moving parts, staying up to date is essential. Consider this your first look at the slate, but be ready to adjust as news breaks. Donโ€™t forget to check Stokasticโ€™s NBA DFS Starting Lineups Page for real-time injury and rotation updates.

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DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today, March 24

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5 โ€“ Jakob Poeltl

Position: C | Salary: $5,800
Projections: 15.1 Points, 9.4 Rebounds, 3.1 Assists, 2.4 Stocks

Poeltl is a solid value option, but thereโ€™s some uncertainty here. The Raptors are on a back-to-back, and we donโ€™t have their injury report yet. If Poeltl is available, heโ€™s underpriced in a fantastic matchup against the Washington Wizards. I have him projected for 27 minutes, putting up 35.5 fantasy points. His target score is 39, making him a strong play. The Raptors frontcourt is crowded with Orlando Robinson, Colin Castleton and Jonathan Mogbo, but if Poeltl gets the start, heโ€™s a top-tier value at his price.

4 โ€“ Jose Alvarado

Position: PG | Salary: $4,900
Projections: 12.8 Points, 3.1 Rebounds, 6.6 Assists, 1.9 Stocks

The Pelicans are dealing with a ton of injuries, and we donโ€™t know yet whoโ€™s playing. C.J. McCollum is likely out, Bruce Brown is questionable and Zion Williamsonโ€™s status is unclear. Assuming Alvarado plays, he should see significant minutes against the 76ers. I have him in for 28 minutes and a total of fantasy points. Heโ€™s looking to hit 35 points to be a strong play. Even with lineup uncertainty, Alvarado should remain a key value option.

3 โ€“ Aaron Gordon

Position: PF | Salary: $6,500
Projections: 20.4 Points, 6.4 Rebounds, 5.0 Assists, 0.9 Stocks

The Nuggets are also on a back-to-back, adding another layer of uncertainty. Nikola Jokic has missed time, and we donโ€™t know the status of Jamal Murray. If Gordon is in and Jokic is out, he becomes a priority play. He has a 43-point target score, and he lands in the optimal lineup 57% of the time. The matchup against the Bulls is excellent โ€” their defense is weak, and the game will be played at Denverโ€™s high altitude, which benefits the Nuggets.

2 โ€“ Zion Williamson

Position: SF/PF | Salary: $9,200
Projections: 29.1 Points, 6.8 Rebounds, 5.7 Assists, 1.8 Stocks

Williamson is the biggest wild card of the slate. If he plays, heโ€™s a fantastic option at an elite position. I have him projected for 27 minutes, but he could push closer to 30. Even in limited time, he projects for 49 fantasy points. His target score is 56, and heโ€™s in the optimal lineup 59% of the time. If McCollum is out, Williamsonโ€™s usage will skyrocket, making him an even better option.

Update: Zion Williamson ruled out.

1 โ€“ Deandre Jordan

Position: C | Salary: $3,000
Projections: 9.1 Points, 10.5 Rebounds, 2.1 Assists, 1.6 Stocks

Now for the biggest mystery of the day. Jordan started yesterday and played 38 minutes. Before that, he wasnโ€™t even in the rotation. Was that a matchup decision against Houstonโ€™s Alperen Sengun, or will they do the same thing against Nikola Vucevic and the Bulls? We donโ€™t know. If Jordan starts again, heโ€™s the best play on the slate at the flat $3,000 salary. I have him projected for 26 minutes and 28 fantasy points. His target score is 25, making him an elite value. However, if heโ€™s not named the starter, I would not roster him since he could get zero minutes. Denverโ€™s lineup news will be crucial, especially since this is the last game of the night. Be ready to late swap if necessary.

DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today (3/24/25) | NBA DFS ConTENders
Author
Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing support@awesemo.com.

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