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DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today: The No. 1 Question Mark Today Is … (March 26)

Welcome back, everyone! Josh Engleman here, ready to break down the top DraftKings NBA DFS picks for today’s six-game slate. As always, we’re using Stokastic’s NBA DFS Sims, NBA DFS projections and NBA DFS ownership projections to help you build the best lineups. Be sure to tune into Deeper Dive at 5 p.m. ET to help you navigate this slate. With plenty of late swap opportunities, staying locked in will be key. And don’t forget to check Stokastic’s NBA DFS Starting Lineups Page for real-time injury and rotation updates.

DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today, March 26

NBA Sims & Data

5 – Colby Jones

Position: SG/SF | Salary: $3,400
Projections: 8.5 Points, 5.3 Rebounds, 2.6 Assists, 2.2 Stocks

Jones is stepping into a bigger role for the Wizards, playing 24 to 26 minutes over his last few games. I have him projected for 25 minutes today against the 76ers in what’s essentially a tank-off. No Khris Middleton, no Marcus Smart and no Keyonte George means Jones should see solid usage. He’s projected for 23 fantasy points, and his target score is 27. He’s not a must-play, but at this price point and on a slate where value is scarce, he’s a strong option that allows you to pay up for Giannis Antetokounmpo if he plays.

4 – Jared Butler

Position: PG/SG | Salary: $6,200
Projections: 17.2 Points, 3.5 Rebounds, 7.6 Assists, 1.6 Stocks

Revenge narrative alert! Butler faces off against his former Wizards team, and he’s in a great spot. With Quentin Grimes back for Philadelphia, it takes a little shine off Butler, but he remains a solid option, especially if Jeff Dowtin is ruled inactive. Butler is projected for 36 fantasy points with a target score of 41. He’s in the optimal lineup 49% of the time. Keep an eye on the 76ers rotation news, as Butler’s role could solidify even more if Dowtin sits.

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3 – D’Angelo Russell

Position: PG | Salary: $5,800
Projections: 17.3 Points, 3.2 Rebounds, 6.3 Assists, 1.8 Stocks

Russell benefits from a shorthanded Brooklyn lineup with no Cam Thomas, Cameron Johnson and no Day’Ron Sharpe. He’s expected to play 28 minutes in a favorable matchup against the tanking Raptors. Projected for 35 fantasy points with a target score of 39, he’s in the optimal lineup 45% of the time. He’s going to take whatever shots he wants with no Thomas or Johnson in the mix. Russell is a strong value at this price and should be a key mid-tier play in lineups today.

2 – Giannis Antetokounmpo

Position: PF/C | Salary: $11,500
Projections: 32.0 Points, 12.0 Rebounds, 6.6 Assists, 2.0 Stocks

The biggest question mark on the slate: Giannis is questionable, and I’m not confident he will play. But if he does, he’s the best pay-up option by a mile, especially with Damian Lillard already ruled out. I have him projected for 34 minutes, 61 fantasy points and a target score of 68. He’s in the optimal lineup 64% of the time. With Nikola Jokic doubtful, Giannis becomes even more valuable. If he’s out, expect the Bucks value plays — Kyle Kuzma, Gary Trent Jr., Kevin Porter Jr. and Brook Lopez — to become the focus.

1 – Trendon Watford

Position: PF/C | Salary: $4,600
Projections: 16.0 Points, 5.7 Rebounds, 4.2 Assists, 1.5 Stocks

This is easily the best play on the slate. With Sharpe and Johnson out, Watford should see 28 minutes in a solid matchup against Toronto. He’s projected for 32 fantasy points with a target score of 33. He’s power forward and center eligible, making him even more versatile. Watford played 27 to 28 minutes in four of his last five games, and the only exception was when the Nets were at full strength. That’s not the case today. He’s the safest value on the board, and unless something drastic changes, he’ll remain the top ConTENder all day.

Author
Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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