College football Week 4 has arrived. Unlike NFL DFS, college football has eliminated the DST position in favor of a Superflex, allowing you to roster a second quarterback. In most cases, this is the optimal strategy for CFB DFS. This article will break down all the key college football DFS picks for Week 4’s Saturday slate using Stokastic’s college football DFS projections and college football DFS ownership projections.
College Football DFS Picks & Projections for Week 4’s Saturday Slate
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Quarterback | College Football DFS Picks for Week 4
Taylen Green ($7,500) — On a tough overall slate for quarterbacks, Green stands out in the mid-priced range. Arkansas enters this game as a 2.5-point underdog to Auburn in a game with a total of 56. This game should have solid pace with Arkansas ranking 16th and Auburn ranking 31st. Green currently averages 268.7 passing yards on 31.7 attempts on the back of two cupcake opponents in FCS Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Oklahoma State. The sledding will be much tougher against Auburn’s 40th ranked secondary. However, Green’s elite mobility gives him an excellent floor. He already has 245 rushing yards in three games with 15 designed attempts in each of the last two games.
Garrett Greene ($7,800) — A decent buy low on this slate, Greene quarterbacks a West Virginia offense that comes in as a 2.5-point favorite over Kansas in a game with a 56.5-point total. Greene only averages 202.3 passing yards per game, and his efficiency has dropped from 2023. Some of this may be due to him losing two stud offensive linemen this offseason. However, Greene still has 122 rushing yards with eight designed attempts in their two competitive games (Penn State & Pittsburgh). Kansas is no cupcake, but Greene provides a decent floor/ceiling combination on a tough slate for quarterbacks.
Riley Leonard ($7,700) — Perhaps the trickiest quarterback on this slate, Leonard projects well as a 27.5 point favorite over Miami Ohio in a game with a 43.5-point total. Leonard has been lackluster as a passer with only 5.6 yards per attempt. However, Notre Dame has passed the ball 47.3% of the time and Leonard has at least nine designed rush attempts in every game this year. Notre Dame is always live to take the air out of the ball as massive favorites, but Leonard’s upside puts him in play for GPPs.
Tyler Shough ($7,200) — Louisville enters Week 4 as a ten point favorite over Georgia Tech in a game with a total of 58. Unlike most teams on this slate, Louisville has only beaten up on low-quality opponents (Austin Peay & Jacksonville State). They won both of their games by a combined score of 111-14. Louisville has a history of running an air raid and using their quarterbacks in the run game. Shough has elite career efficiency metrics with 84 yards per attempt, 42 touchdowns, and 17 interceptions. He also has 710 career rushing yards, which should give him an adequate floor. In their first true test, Shough has upside that the projections may not capture since this should be a closer game.
Running Back | College Football DFS Picks for Week 4
Phil Mafah ($6,000) — Clemson enters Week 4 as an 18-point favorite over NC State in a game with a 44-point total. After a bye in Week 3, Clemson has yet to play a competitive game. Georgia blew them out in Week 1, while Clemson torched Appalachian State in Week 2. Both game scripts prevented Mafah from receiving a full workload. In Week 1, he handled 19 of the team’s 21 running back touches, which should be close to the projected split in close games. NC State ranks 62nd in run defense and provide little resistance for the stud back.
Corey Kiner ($5,200) — Over the last two games, Kiner has touched the ball 20 and 21 times in Cincinnati’s offense. He now averages just shy of 107 yards per game with Houston on deck. The Bearcats are 3.5-point favorites in a game with a total of 48. Cincinnati does have one of the lowest target rates to running backs in college football, but their 12th ranked run blocking offensive line has paved the way to efficient performances for Kiner.
Maurice Turner ($4,200) — Like Shough, there is a chance that Louisville has not shown their true intentions at the running back position. So far, four running backs have been heavily involved, but a majority of Isaac Brown‘s and Duke Watson‘s carries have come with games out of reach. Turner routinely handles the first-team work and saw 13 touches against Jacksonville State before the game got out of hand. At worst, Turner leads an explosive committee, but there is an outside chance at feature0back work at a cheap price.
Cam Skattebo ($7,300) — Arizona State currently sits as a 3.5-point underdog to Texas Tech in a game with a total of 59. So far, the Sun Devils boast a 34.5% pass rate, which has led to monster games for Skattebo. In the last two games, he has touch counts of 38 and 27. Skattebo also has a 14.5% target share and a 66% route share in the offense. DeCarlos Brooks will return here, but Raleek Brown is out again after aggravating his hamstring. The touches should be well into the 20’s against a Texas Tech defense ranked 108th against the run.
Wide Receiver | College Football DFS Picks for Week 4
Ja’Corey Brooks ($4,800) — Louisville has involved a lot of scrubs at wide receiver in their blowouts, but Ja’Corey Brooks has dominated opportunities with a 24.6% target share, averaging 86 yards per game. His route share jumped to 86.5% against Jacksonville State, which easily led pass catchers for this offense. The blowouts have kept his price in check, making him a solid play in Week 4.
Malik Rutherford ($4,800) — On the other side of that Louisville game, Georgia Tech has a pair of underpriced receivers in Rutherford and Eric Singleton. Rutherford looks under projected across the industry. His routes have routinely come in above 80% outside of a game where he left early due to injury. Despite this, he still leads the team with 285 receiving yards on a 24.1% target share.
Elijhah Badger ($5,000) — Florida has now lost Eugene Wilson III and Kahleil Jackson to injury, leaving Badger and Chimere Dike as the top two receivers. Badger currently averages 86.7 yards per game to Dike’s 48.7, which breaks the tie between a narrow pricing gap. Both should trend towards 100% of the routes due to a lack of options around them. Florida currently sits as a 6.5 point favorite over Mississippi State team ranked 102nd in coverage. The total also comes in elevated at 58 points.
Caleb Douglas ($4,100) — Mentioned above, Texas Tech is a slight favorite over Arizona State in a game with a 59-point total. Texas Tech currently passes 60% of the time in their air raid offense, while ranking 18th in pace. Douglas has emerged as the teams WR3 with 6.0 targets and 45.7 yards per game. He makes sense as a salary saver.
De’Zhaun Stribling ($5,900) — One of the week’s sneaky shootouts, a decimated Utah defense takes on a high powered Oklahoma State offense as a one point favorite in a game with a 54-point total. On the other side, Oklahoma State ranks 108th in total defense, adding to the shootout appeal. In this game environment, all three of Stribling, Brennan Presley, and Rashod Owens should carry some ownership at their various price points. Stribling currently looks like the best value after seeing eight targets in all three games this year and averaging 98.3 yards per game in that span.
