College football Week 3 has arrived, and DraftKings is rolling out a two-game slate. Unlike NFL DFS, college football has eliminated the DST position in favor of a Superflex, allowing you to roster a second quarterback. In most cases, this is the optimal strategy for CFB DFS. As for this two-game slate, the pricing is fairly soft, making it easy to stack multiple stars in your lineup. This article will break down all the key CFB Week 3 DFS picks using Stokastic’s CFB DFS projections and CFB DFS ownership projections.
CFB Week 3 DFS Picks & Projections
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And don’t forget to check out our comprehensive breakdown of our CFB DFS packages for full pricing details and an overview of the tools and data at each tier.
Quarterback | Week 3 CFB Picks
Noah Fifita ($8,600) — Arizona enters this game as a touchdown underdog to Kansas State in a game with a 60.5 total. Fifita leads all quarterbacks in price, but this makes him a tough player to get to. After finishing last year with negative rushing yards, he already had -2 yards this year. He also completely imploded against an FCS team in Week 2 after Northern Arizona used bracket coverage on Tetairoa McMillan. My preference is saving some salary at this position.
Jalon Daniels ($8,200) — In the second game, Kansas has climbed to 8.5 point favorites over UNLV in a game with a 57.5 total. Off a similarly horrific game, Daniels only managed 141 yards on 32 attempts against Illinois with just 27 rushing yards. Kansas is passing 50% of the time, but that arguably does not even maximize Daniels’ strengths as a player. The matchup remains easier, but Daniels brings similar problems to this slate as Fifita.
Avery Johnson ($7,800) — On the other side of the Arizona matchups, Kansas State enters the slate with the highest team total. They’ve only passed 41.1% of the time through two weeks, but Johnson remains a strong contributor there with 77 yards on the ground this year. He only threw for 181 yards against Tulane, but his 40 yards on the ground made up for it. Even that alone puts him higher on the priority list than Daniels or Fifita.
Matthew Sluka ($6,900) — Despite coming in as large underdogs, UNLV’s unique offense keeps multiple players in the DFS conversation. Sluka has only thrown the ball 15 times per game through two games, but he accounts for 129 rushing yards and leads the team in carries. UNLV has a 23.8% pass rate so far this year. While that surely rises, Sluka’s floor as a rusher makes him an adequate pay down quarterback option on this slate.
Running Back | Week 3 CFB DFS Picks
Quali Conley ($7,100) — Arizona lost Jacory Croskey-Merritt ($6,400) to eligibility issues last week. Unlikely to play again here, that puts Conley in position to handle a feature back role. Last week, he carried the ball 17 times while seeing five targets in the pass game. This workload puts him squarely in play for cash.
DJ Giddens ($7,600) — On the other side, Giddens carried 19 times with six targets in Week 2. Giddens actually leads Kansas State in targets this year. While the box score metrics look good, Giddens may actually cede more work to Dylan Edwards ($6,000) this week. The run game failed to get much going until Edwards took the field. Postgame, the coaching staff vocalized their desire to get Edwards more looks moving forward.
Devin Neal ($7,400) — Despite having some success on the ground, Kansas abandoned their run game late against Illinois. This led to just 14 carries for Neal. Still hyper efficient, Neal has 213 rushing yards on just 22 carries this year. He also functions as the main pass catching back, but Kansas RBs have just one target through two games. Concerns aside, he remains firmly in play on a two game slate.
Wide Receiver |
Tetairoa McMillan ($8,600) — After erupting for 304 yards and four scores in Week 1, McMillan found himself facing additional coverage in Week 2. He finished with two receptions for 11 yards. Considering Fifita’s inability to elevate other receivers and the inability of other receivers to produce this should be a defensive blueprint for opposing teams moving forward. Still, McMillan is a top three receiver in the country in a pass heavy offense. Riskier than initially thought, McMillan still has elite upside. Behind McMillan, tight end Keyan Burnett ($3,400) has the best route rate at 77%. This team can’t even settle on a WR2. That job most likely belongs to Montana Lemonious-Craig ($5,100) and he is egregiously overpriced.
Ricky White III ($7,700) — In UNLV’s pass heavy offense, White’s 12 total targets equate to a 38.7% target share. This will be UNLV’s first true test, meaning their pass rate should inevitably rise. Still, the efficiency may struggle to reach 2023 heights with an FCS transfer quarterback, whose best skill is running the ball. Behind White, Jacob De Jesus ($5,400) actually looks like an interesting dart. On top of his role as WR2, De Jesus has five carries on the year. The coaching staff spoke of that this offseason, so his work on the ground should remain.
Luke Grimm ($6,200) — Kansas returned the same three starting receivers from last year. In 2023, Lawrence Arnold ($5,000) functioned as the WR1 for most of the year, but Grimm battled injury. With a clean bill of health, Grimm has now erupted for 75.5 yards per game on ten targets. While unsustainable, Grimm accounts for a 40% target share in the offense. Arnold and Quentin Skinner ($4,800) can be used in GPPs alongside Grimm.
Jayce Brown ($4,700) — The widest target three on the slate, no one on Kansas State has more than ten targets this year and that player is a running back. Still, Brown led the position with an 85% route share in Week 2 and ranks second on the team in targets. Behind him, Keagan Johnson ($4,100) actually looks like the WR2 after his routes spiked to 81.5%. No one else eclipsed 60% except tight end Garrett Oakley ($3,900) at 63%.
