When it comes to pick’em DFS, using a market-based EV approach can significantly boost your chances of making profitable decisions. This strategy involves identifying and exploiting discrepancies between the projections available and the true odds of an outcome, which are often reflected in the betting markets. True odds indicate the real probability of an event happening, while the projections might offer a slight edge. By comparing these two, you can uncover opportunities to maximize your expected value (EV) on platforms like PrizePicks. That’s where Stokastic’s NEW PrizePicks Optimizer comes into play as we make the best CFB PrizePicks predictions today.
CFB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Georgia-Clemson & More
The goal in pick’em DFS is often to find the balance between chasing big payouts and managing risk. As someone who gravitates toward GPPs in traditional DFS, I often go for five- and six-pick entries on PrizePicks. These entries offer a tantalizing 25x payout if all six picks hit, making them a high-risk, high-reward strategy. However, these picks might come with a lower expected value (EV) compared to smaller entries.
There are times when our PrizePicks Optimizer will present +EV opportunities with three- and four-pick entries. These entries tend to have a higher win percentage (xWin%), meaning you have a better chance of cashing in, albeit with a smaller payout. It’s an excellent option for those days when you want to reduce your risk and still walk away with a win.
The good news? You don’t have to manually scan DFS apps yourself. With the CFB Pick’em Package on Stokastic, you can have our optimizers do the heavy lifting for you. For just $19.95 per month, you’ll gain access to our PrizePicks, Underdog and DraftKings Pick6 Optimizers. These tools are designed to help you identify the best +EV plays across platforms, saving you time and effort while maximizing your potential returns. You can get 20% off the Pick’em package with code GAMEDAY this week only!
As we look forward to Week 1 of the 2024 CFB season, the marquee matchup between Clemson and Georgia is a great game with playoff implications right from the start. Both teams have a lot at stake, and our PrizePicks Optimizer has identified several opportunities for profitable plays in this high-profile contest.
Game Spotlight: Clemson vs. Georgia
Taking place in Atlanta, this matchup features two powerhouse programs. Georgia comes into the season as one of the top teams in the country . They return key players like quarterback Carson Beck, supported by a deep cast of offensive weapons. Even with some losses to the NFL, Georgia’s offensive line is still considered one of the best in the nation. Clemson, on the other hand, is looking to bounce back after a disappointing 9-4 season in 2023. However, quarterback Cade Klubnik hasn’t fully lived up to expectations, which could make it challenging for the Tigers to keep pace with Georgia’s potent offense.
The PrizePicks Optimizer has highlighted Arian Smith (less than 31.5 receiving yards) and Tyler Brown (less than 39.5 receiving yards) as solid picks for this game. With Georgia expected to spread the ball around and Clemson’s secondary potentially struggling to contain Georgia’s offense, taking the less on these receiving yard totals makes sense from a market-based EV approach.
At the time of this writing, the PrizePicks Optimizer identified a 29% EV, six-pick entry for Saturday’s CFB action with a projected 3% win rate.
This entry showcases the high-risk, high-reward nature of six-pick entries, focusing on EV but acknowledging the lower win probability with these CFB PrizePicks predictions.
