NBA DFS Boom-Bust Probability Data for DraftKings and FanDuel

Stokastic's NBA DFS Boom-Bust Probability

Here you can find Stokastic's NBA DFS Boom/Bust Probability for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo! You're seeing a PREVIEW of our industry-leading NBA DFS Boom/Bust Probability data for FanDuel only. The preview does not contain all players for today's NBA DFS slate.

Name	Team	Salary	Projection	Std Dev	Ceiling	Floor	Bust%	Boom%	Position	PosProj
De'Aaron Fox	SAC	8,800	44.00	10.87	51.33	36.67	34.28	30.32	PG	5.0000303045523
DeMar DeRozan	SAC	7,700	33.97	9.48	40.36	27.58	52.85	12.99	SF/PF	4.4119157999325
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	10,100	46.71	11.35	54.37	39.05	45.59	22.07	C/PF	4.6245887575256
Keegan Murray	SAC	5,900	25.09	8.69	30.95	19.23	56.68	9.36	PF/SF	4.2520654308507
Keon Ellis	SAC	4,700	23.10	8.74	29.00	17.20	41.17	17.86	SG/PG	4.9149914992084
Trey Lyles	SAC	4,600	18.59	7.83	23.87	13.31	60.61	6.11	PF/C	4.0415170616423
Kevin Huerter	SAC	4,100	16.70	7.64	21.85	11.54	59.07	6.21	SG/SF	4.0724581846208
Devin Carter	SAC	3,800	14.79	7.57	19.90	9.69	61.96	5.21	PG	3.8931790941027
Alex Len	SAC	3,600	3.52	2.35	5.10	1.94	100.00	0.00	C
Jordan McLaughlin	SAC	3,500	2.18	1.45	3.16	1.20	100.00	0.00	PG
Colby Jones	SAC	3,500	0.60	0.40	0.87	0.33	100.00	0.00	SG
Doug McDermott	SAC	3,500	0.42	0.28	0.61	0.23	100.00	0.00	PF
Devin Booker	PHO	9,400	45.05	10.42	52.08	38.02	39.58	24.34	SG/SF	4.7928410972449
Kevin Durant	PHO	9,500	46.45	10.65	53.63	39.26	36.42	27.71	PF/SF	4.8893276391154
Bradley Beal	PHO	6,600	29.26	9.03	35.35	23.17	51.93	12.38	SF/SG	4.4336973674324
Ryan Dunn	PHO	4,400	19.54	8.31	25.15	13.93	51.25	10.85	SF	4.4409245529778
Tyus Jones	PHO	5,100	20.06	7.92	25.39	14.72	64.27	5.17	PG	3.9324450111533
Grayson Allen	PHO	4,300	19.64	7.94	24.99	14.28	48.56	11.05	SG/SF	4.5665875755376
Oso Ighodaro	PHO	4,200	20.04	8.27	25.62	14.47	44.50	14.20	PF/C	4.7720775653602
Royce O'Neale	PHO	4,800	19.27	8.00	24.66	13.88	61.47	6.15	SF/PF	4.014183626245
Mason Plumlee	PHO	4,400	19.90	8.34	25.53	14.27	49.53	11.77	C	4.5221222731526
Damion Lee	PHO	3,500	0.64	0.43	0.93	0.35	100.00	0.00	SG
Monte Morris	PHO	3,600	0.68	0.45	0.99	0.37	100.00	0.00	PG
Josh Okogie	PHO	3,600	0.72	0.48	1.04	0.40	100.00	0.00	SF
Bol Bol	PHO	3,500	0.89	0.59	1.28	0.49	100.00	0.00	C
Anfernee Simons	POR	7,200	34.89	9.58	41.35	28.43	39.75	21.64	SG/PG	4.8456525353712
Shaedon Sharpe	POR	6,300	33.35	9.52	39.77	26.93	29.96	29.98	SF/SG	5.2941269631351
Toumani Camara	POR	5,200	25.00	8.85	30.97	19.03	42.82	17.13	SG/SF	4.8080781423998
Deandre Ayton	POR	6,200	32.14	10.09	38.94	25.33	33.72	28.40	C	5.1836576122196
Scoot Henderson	POR	4,800	25.77	9.27	32.02	19.52	32.63	26.46	PG	5.3688273028721
Kris Murray	POR	3,800	17.60	7.92	22.95	12.26	47.46	11.53	SF	4.6325859441548
Donovan Clingan	POR	5,500	21.37	9.51	27.78	14.95	63.90	7.96	C	3.8849322855814
Dalano Banton	POR	3,900	20.32	8.66	26.16	14.48	37.45	20.19	SG/PG	5.2103981412971
Rayan Rupert	POR	3,500	7.60	5.07	11.02	4.18	94.60	0.02	SG	2.1724273457733
Jabari Walker	POR	3,500	3.16	2.11	4.58	1.74	100.00	0.00	PF/C
Duop Reath	POR	3,600	0.70	0.47	1.02	0.39	100.00	0.00	C
Justin Minaya	POR	3,500	0.55	0.37	0.80	0.31	100.00	0.00	SF
Kelly Oubre	PHI	6,300	33.92	9.62	40.41	27.43	28.13	32.26	SG/SF	5.3842354972584
Guerschon Yabusele	PHI	5,700	28.95	9.41	35.30	22.61	36.27	23.83	PF	5.0795464393002
Eric Gordon	PHI	4,000	21.05	8.22	26.60	15.51	35.51	19.90	SG	5.2634102503028
Reggie Jackson	PHI	3,700	25.41	9.07	31.53	19.29	16.71	44.56	PG	6.8671592572675
Justin Edwards	PHI	3,600	18.53	8.15	24.02	13.03	38.76	17.33	SF	5.1465936312727
Ricky Council	PHI	3,700	21.73	8.49	27.45	16.00	27.49	28.10	SG	5.8723548656372
Jeff Dowtin	PHI	3,500	16.47	7.48	21.51	11.42	46.18	10.73	PG	4.7047532684065
Adem Bona	PHI	3,600	16.26	8.29	21.86	10.67	49.70	11.54	C	4.5173712828024
Joel Embiid	PHI	10,500	3.95	2.63	5.73	2.17	100.00	0.00	C
Andre Drummond	PHI	5,400	2.67	1.78	3.87	1.47	100.00	0.00	C
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	OKC	11,400	51.70	11.90	59.73	43.68	48.65	20.99	PG	4.5353071125299
Jalen Williams	OKC	8,400	38.68	10.64	45.86	31.51	46.69	19.57	PF/SF	4.6053302835155
Isaiah Hartenstein	OKC	7,600	34.42	10.36	41.41	27.43	49.15	17.26	C	4.5291012237011
Luguentz Dort	OKC	4,900	20.65	8.07	26.09	15.21	56.90	7.88	SF/SG	4.213884852134
Cason Wallace	OKC	5,000	21.44	8.30	27.04	15.84	55.09	9.14	SG/PG	4.2875992141906
Aaron Wiggins	OKC	4,600	17.27	7.56	22.37	12.17	67.49	3.79	SF	3.7547618403352
Isaiah Joe	OKC	4,100	15.64	7.24	20.52	10.76	65.11	3.83	SG/SF	3.814652300948
Alex Caruso	OKC	4,000	18.25	8.19	23.78	12.73	48.76	11.71	SF	4.5635859564331
Kenrich Williams	OKC	3,800	13.16	7.19	18.01	8.31	70.79	2.63	PF	3.4640402079285
Jaylin Williams	OKC	4,000	14.56	7.52	19.63	9.49	67.64	3.69	C	3.6399155841072
Alex Ducas	OKC	3,500	2.07	1.38	3.00	1.14	100.00	0.00	SG
Trey Murphy	NO	7,500	34.51	9.38	40.84	28.19	46.76	16.24	SF/SG	4.6018327448845
CJ McCollum	NO	7,400	32.68	9.52	39.10	26.25	52.61	13.23	SG/PG	4.415817357487
Dejounte Murray	NO	8,300	41.57	10.77	48.83	34.30	34.77	29.57	PG	5.0081385479364
Zion Williamson	NO	8,600	41.16	11.23	48.73	33.58	41.35	25.09	PF	4.7855157446143
Yves Missi	NO	5,600	25.96	9.10	32.09	19.82	46.69	15.49	C	4.634842718523
Javonte Green	NO	4,500	14.77	7.19	19.62	9.92	77.70	1.57	SF	3.2824748849455
Daniel Theis	NO	3,900	15.90	7.60	21.03	10.78	58.57	6.27	C	4.0781809206213
Jordan Hawkins	NO	4,200	12.08	6.45	16.43	7.73	85.46	0.46	SG	2.876732704202
Jose Alvarado	NO	4,200	15.71	7.79	20.96	10.45	65.90	4.52	PG	3.7402129791013
Brandon Boston	NO	4,100	10.45	6.29	14.69	6.21	89.83	0.21	SF	2.548837916959
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	NO	3,700	1.48	0.99	2.15	0.82	100.00	0.00	C
Jamal Cain	NO	3,500	1.36	0.90	1.97	0.75	100.00	0.00	SF
Antonio Reeves	NO	3,500	0.57	0.38	0.83	0.32	100.00	0.00	SG
Karlo Matkovic	NO	3,500	0.49	0.33	0.71	0.27	100.00	0.00	PF
Damian Lillard	MIL	8,700	41.14	10.27	48.07	34.22	42.30	21.79	PG	4.7293093058221
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	11,800	59.51	12.73	68.09	50.92	30.73	38.88	PF	5.0429194137895
Brook Lopez	MIL	5,700	25.03	8.93	31.06	19.01	52.75	11.72	C	4.3917735005622
Taurean Prince	MIL	3,900	16.92	7.62	22.06	11.78	53.31	8.14	SF	4.3376318117875
AJ Green	MIL	3,900	14.46	7.33	19.41	9.52	66.31	3.72	SG	3.7084660585087
Bobby Portis	MIL	6,400	26.80	9.51	33.22	20.38	58.33	10.36	PF/C	4.1874608463218
Andre Jackson	MIL	3,800	12.04	6.98	16.74	7.34	76.59	1.54	SG	3.1684627151563
Ryan Rollins	MIL	3,700	16.43	8.08	21.88	10.98	51.10	10.29	SG	4.4398600341916
Pat Connaughton	MIL	3,600	10.68	6.47	15.04	6.31	80.33	0.82	SG	2.966049548299
Marjon Beauchamp	MIL	3,500	3.51	2.34	5.09	1.93	100.00	0.00	SG
Delon Wright	MIL	3,600	1.92	1.28	2.78	1.06	100.00	0.00	PG
Stanley Umude	MIL	3,500	0.55	0.37	0.79	0.30	100.00	0.00	SG
Chris Livingston	MIL	3,500	0.51	0.34	0.74	0.28	100.00	0.00	SF
Bennedict Mathurin	IND	6,000	28.50	9.22	34.71	22.28	43.56	17.82	SF/SG	4.7492525033805
Andrew Nembhard	IND	5,700	28.23	9.29	34.49	21.97	39.06	21.21	SG/PG	4.9526926688931
Pascal Siakam	IND	7,800	35.85	10.33	42.82	28.89	47.09	18.54	PF	4.5965414094462
Myles Turner	IND	6,800	31.71	9.84	38.35	25.08	45.49	18.32	C	4.6638911204443
Ben Sheppard	IND	3,900	16.38	7.93	21.73	11.03	55.87	7.96	SG	4.1996870218585
T.J. McConnell	IND	5,500	25.66	9.44	32.03	19.29	46.15	16.79	PG	4.6660133178505
Obi Toppin	IND	4,300	21.58	8.80	27.51	15.64	40.00	18.86	PF	5.0184665303373
Jarace Walker	IND	4,200	17.31	8.22	22.85	11.77	57.67	7.92	PF/C	4.1214682991799
Thomas Bryant	IND	4,500	16.73	8.23	22.28	11.18	66.55	5.02	C	3.7180738334964
Johnny Furphy	IND	3,500	4.86	3.24	7.04	2.67	99.96	0.00	SG
James Johnson	IND	3,500	1.09	0.73	1.59	0.60	100.00	0.00	PF
Nikola Jokic	DEN	12,900	63.30	12.89	72.00	54.61	34.19	35.63	C	4.9070801958384
Jamal Murray	DEN	7,700	33.25	9.51	39.66	26.84	55.85	11.52	PG/SG	4.3183511267568
Michael Porter	DEN	6,700	27.35	8.98	33.40	21.29	62.26	7.69	SF/PF	4.0815352276294
Russell Westbrook	DEN	7,800	35.03	10.17	41.89	28.16	50.29	16.11	PG	4.4905306392644
Christian Braun	DEN	5,100	20.00	8.12	25.48	14.52	64.17	5.54	SG/SF	3.9219424106141
Peyton Watson	DEN	4,600	20.12	8.26	25.69	14.55	52.82	10.00	PF	4.3730838529469
Julian Strawther	DEN	4,000	15.36	7.42	20.37	10.36	63.90	4.42	SF	3.8402269206193
Aaron Gordon	DEN	5,800	18.61	7.53	23.69	13.53	83.99	1.01	PF	3.2089853798324
DeAndre Jordan	DEN	3,900	9.36	6.24	13.57	5.15	90.53	0.18	C	2.3999243676833
Jalen Pickett	DEN	3,500	0.59	0.39	0.86	0.32	100.00	0.00	SG
Dario Saric	DEN	3,800	0.73	0.49	1.06	0.40	100.00	0.00	PF/C
Trey Alexander	DEN	3,500	0.53	0.35	0.76	0.29	100.00	0.00	SG
Hunter Tyson	DEN	3,500	0.50	0.33	0.72	0.27	100.00	0.00	SF
Zeke Nnaji	DEN	3,500	0.66	0.44	0.95	0.36	100.00	0.00	C
P.J. Washington	DAL	7,300	33.21	9.67	39.73	26.68	48.52	15.95	PF	4.5492274868906
Kyrie Irving	DAL	8,200	38.41	10.31	45.37	31.46	44.16	20.52	SG/PG	4.6846002065002
Klay Thompson	DAL	5,600	25.80	8.93	31.82	19.78	47.33	14.61	SF/SG	4.6067798341493
Naji Marshall	DAL	5,300	24.04	8.75	29.94	18.14	49.12	13.11	SF/PF	4.5365678054726
Dereck Lively	DAL	6,700	31.20	10.36	38.18	24.21	45.97	19.37	C	4.6563128974667
Spencer Dinwiddie	DAL	6,600	21.50	8.30	27.10	15.90	83.82	1.42	PG/SG	3.2580748564607
Quentin Grimes	DAL	5,500	20.40	8.18	25.92	14.88	70.25	3.98	SG/SF	3.7088996520262
Maxi Kleber	DAL	3,700	9.73	6.16	13.88	5.57	86.96	0.30	PF/C	2.6285411419545
Daniel Gafford	DAL	4,500	18.90	8.93	24.92	12.87	56.02	10.18	C	4.1994230617904
Jaden Hardy	DAL	4,600	9.10	6.06	13.18	5.01	97.22	0.02	SG	1.9771783282121
Brandon Williams	DAL	3,500	1.50	1.00	2.17	0.82	100.00	0.00	PG
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	DAL	3,600	0.73	0.49	1.06	0.40	100.00	0.00	PF
Dwight Powell	DAL	3,500	0.69	0.46	1.00	0.38	100.00	0.00	C
Darius Garland	CLE	7,600	35.33	9.97	42.05	28.60	45.50	18.68	PG	4.6482648952861
Donovan Mitchell	CLE	8,400	37.40	10.20	44.28	30.51	51.58	15.39	SG/PG	4.4519077223234
Evan Mobley	CLE	8,500	38.92	10.68	46.12	31.72	47.49	19.11	PF/C	4.5790359100591
Jarrett Allen	CLE	7,500	32.83	9.75	39.40	26.26	53.76	13.12	C/PF	4.3772136149482
Max Strus	CLE	4,200	17.60	7.50	22.66	12.54	56.86	6.61	SG/SF	4.1912449177847
Dean Wade	CLE	4,000	17.00	7.63	22.14	11.85	55.24	7.45	PF/SF	4.2489247509545
Caris LeVert	CLE	5,400	19.83	7.96	25.20	14.47	71.28	3.45	SF/SG	3.6727053047599
Georges Niang	CLE	3,700	13.69	6.95	18.38	9.00	66.50	3.11	PF	3.6999560831043
Isaac Okoro	CLE	3,700	11.10	6.46	15.46	6.74	80.48	0.81	SF/SG	2.9996506001128
Sam Merrill	CLE	3,600	10.49	6.41	14.81	6.17	81.36	0.71	SG/SF	2.9136832423672
Craig Porter	CLE	3,800	1.00	0.67	1.46	0.55	100.00	0.00	PG
Jaylon Tyson	CLE	3,500	1.11	0.74	1.61	0.61	100.00	0.00	SF
Tristan Thompson	CLE	3,500	1.19	0.79	1.72	0.65	100.00	0.00	C
Zach LaVine	CHI	8,500	40.88	10.04	47.66	34.11	39.66	23.16	SF/SG	4.8098451100619
Nikola Vucevic	CHI	8,000	39.96	10.43	47.00	32.93	35.19	28.13	C	4.9954872633143
Coby White	CHI	6,500	29.68	9.15	35.85	23.50	48.14	14.77	SG/PG	4.5655036126225
Josh Giddey	CHI	7,300	35.28	9.96	41.99	28.56	40.38	22.35	PG/SG	4.8322082089063
Patrick Williams	CHI	4,600	21.85	8.23	27.40	16.30	44.45	14.10	PF	4.7496992090813
Lonzo Ball	CHI	4,900	24.10	8.53	29.86	18.35	40.50	17.57	PG	4.9184274971944
Jalen Smith	CHI	4,300	18.96	8.78	24.88	13.04	51.77	11.82	C	4.4096149781885
Matas Buzelis	CHI	3,700	13.05	7.35	18.01	8.09	68.77	3.22	PF	3.5274415782551
Julian Phillips	CHI	3,600	9.94	6.22	14.13	5.74	84.30	0.45	SF	2.759819111671
Dalen Terry	CHI	3,600	7.34	4.89	10.64	4.04	96.49	0.01	SF	2.0391346858499
Talen Horton-Tucker	CHI	3,800	4.75	3.17	6.89	2.61	100.00	0.00	SG
Jevon Carter	CHI	3,500	0.61	0.41	0.89	0.34	100.00	0.00	PG
Chris Duarte	CHI	3,500	0.62	0.41	0.90	0.34	100.00	0.00	SF
Noah Clowney	BKN	5,300	23.86	9.14	30.03	17.69	49.95	13.73	PF/C	4.5020113661181
Cameron Johnson	BKN	6,200	27.72	9.38	34.04	21.39	50.79	13.88	SF/PF	4.4701864432104
Ben Simmons	BKN	5,900	27.65	9.89	34.32	20.97	45.58	18.41	PG/PF	4.6861171922513
Keon Johnson	BKN	5,800	21.87	8.87	27.85	15.89	68.33	5.43	SG/SF	3.7710479471127
Ziaire Williams	BKN	5,300	22.85	9.22	29.07	16.63	54.32	11.64	SF	4.3112536608449
D'Angelo Russell	BKN	7,200	25.76	9.24	32.00	19.53	76.37	3.59	PG	3.5778520818965
Jalen Wilson	BKN	3,900	15.32	7.63	20.47	10.18	61.47	5.46	SF/PF	3.929241392108
Day'Ron Sharpe	BKN	4,400	24.62	10.04	31.39	17.85	31.56	30.29	C	5.5952520022593
Tyrese Martin	BKN	5,500	14.50	7.56	19.60	9.40	91.23	0.37	SF/SG	2.6363140653744
Tosan Evbuomwan	BKN	4,100	11.48	6.89	16.13	6.84	84.43	0.69	SF	2.800280504442
Dariq Whitehead	BKN	3,500	0.57	0.38	0.83	0.32	100.00	0.00	SF
Reece Beekman	BKN	3,600	0.54	0.36	0.79	0.30	100.00	0.00	PG
Trae Young	ATL	9,600	47.30	10.91	54.67	39.94	35.34	29.45	PG	4.9275366571306
Dyson Daniels	ATL	7,000	37.81	10.31	44.76	30.86	27.01	36.02	SG/PG	5.4017469129907
Vit Krejci	ATL	4,300	20.55	8.39	26.21	14.89	44.31	14.72	SG	4.7791398445903
Zaccharie Risacher	ATL	4,200	22.79	8.60	28.59	16.99	32.56	23.86	SF	5.4257135281327
Bogdan Bogdanovic	ATL	5,100	24.39	8.79	30.32	18.46	43.48	16.52	SG/SF	4.7829811704779
Clint Capela	ATL	5,500	28.66	9.61	35.14	22.18	34.21	26.31	C	5.2107568518678
Onyeka Okongwu	ATL	5,200	27.45	9.51	33.86	21.03	33.52	26.58	C/PF	5.2784182951144
Garrison Mathews	ATL	3,800	16.95	7.25	21.84	12.06	50.85	8.06	SG	4.4594304573264
David Roddy	ATL	3,700	13.55	7.20	18.41	8.69	66.66	3.44	SF/PF	3.6622964714667
Dominick Barlow	ATL	3,500	1.72	1.15	2.50	0.95	100.00	0.00	C

PLEASE NOTE: This data only represents a subset of all players available on today's NBA slates and does not offer any advanced tools.

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About Our NBA DFS Boom-Bust Probability

These NBA DFS Boom/Bust Probability for fantasy points and value are derived directly from our own NBA DFS projections. Roster NBA players with solid value projections and spend most or all of your salary to build very competitive lineups for your leagues. Premium daily fantasy basketball projections are available and updated frequently. Initial NBA DFS Boom/Bust Probability data is updated everyday by 1:00PM ET and is updated pretty much every two hours throughout the day, with the final update being 30min before NBA game lock.

The NBA DFS Boom/Bust Probability here are maintained and used by Alex Baker, the #1 Ranked Daily Fantasy Basketball Player. These NBA DFS early slate Boom/Bust Probability are updated regularly everyday throughout the season, including whenever any NBA DFS-relevant news breaks.

How To Use Our NBA DFS Boom/Bust Probability

Check out the video below to see how Josh Engleman uses this very Boom-Bust NBA DFS data to create winning lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Author

Alex Baker

A self-proclaimed U.S. history buff, stats enthusiast, and rabid fan of anything Detroit (yes, even the Lions), Alex started playing daily fantasy sports in 2013 and never looked back. After graduating with a degree in mathematics from Washington University in St. Louis in 2008, he began developing advanced statistical models and applied his unique skill-set first to poker, then as a full-time DFS player. He has since dominated DFS, becoming a fixture on leaderboards and cementing his position as the top-ranked overall player according to RotoGrinders. Competing in most guaranteed prize pool tournaments, he has ranked in the top 3 across major sports, including NBA, NFL, NHL, PGA, and MLB. He enjoys sharing his knowledge of fantasy sports with new and experienced players alike. Career Highlights: No. 1 Overall Ranking; 14x FanDuel $100k winner, 11x DraftKings Hundred-Thousandaire; 20x Live Final qualifier. You can contact him on Twitter @awesemodfs or by emailing [email protected].

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