Looking for NBA bets? We’ve got you covered. Our picks are backed by Stokastic’s NBA DFS Projections and OddsShopper’s Portfolio EV, ensuring you’re making data-driven wagers.
Stokastic’s Projected Stats page delivers expert predictions on player points, threes, rebounds, and more—an invaluable tool for both DFS and betting analysis.
Meanwhile, Portfolio EV, powered by our sister site OddsShopper, automates the process of finding +EV bets. Using advanced algorithms, it quickly identifies profitable opportunities across markets, helping you maximize returns while managing risk through diversification and daily compounding profits.
You can test it out FOR FREE, with a 7-DAY TRIAL today!
Save tons of time by reviewing the NBA portfolio, spotting strong bets, and cross-checking them with our projections. Now, let’s look at a couple of bets showing strong edges on Portfolio EV, along with our data team’s projections.
NBA Bets Using our DFS Projections and Tools (March 7)
Here we can see a bet featuring Donte DiVincenzo Under 13.5 Points. The price of -129 can be found at BetRivers.
The OS (OddsShopper) rating of this particular wager is 8. Next to the OS Rating, we can see that the expected value (EV) of this bet is +4.5%.
Furthermore, the Historical ROI (HROI) is +2.8% for this specific bet and the true odds should be -143.
Below those numbers are a list of all the sportsbooks in your respective jurisdiction that are offering this wager. You can simply click whichever book (hopefully BetRivers since it has the best value) and it will take you to that page and get the play lined up for you in your bet slip.
Based off of that info provided for you – it’s evident just how appealing this bet is. However, if you’re someone who seeks further validation, then you could take a look at Donte DiVincenzo’s projections on Stokastic:
Our data team forecasts DiVincenzo to finish around 10.48 points. That’s a sizable difference in comparison to the 13.5 points prop that’s being dealt out by most sportsbooks, which should further solidify our conviction in taking this wager.
NBA Bets Using our DFS Projections and Tools (March 7)
Let’s take a look at another example:
Our next bet focuses on New York Knicks big man Karl-Anthony Towns. The Knicks are on the second night of a back-to-back, facing one of the NBA’s top defenses in the Los Angeles Clippers.
The Clippers rank 4th in Points Allowed per 100 Possessions and 10th in Defensive Effective Field Goal Percentage. Given these metrics, it’s already shaping up to be a tough matchup for the Knicks and Towns. Portfolio EV reinforces this by highlighting a +EV wager on Towns’ under.
The bet is Karl-Anthony Towns Under 25.5 Points. The best odds are -129, which is available at BetRivers. Our tools are labeling this with an EV of +4.8%, and displaying that the true odds should be -144.
Also, the historical ROI for this specific prop bet is +2.8%. You can even see that several other sportsbooks are going as far as moving this number to 24.5.
But, again – if you wanted to seek more affirmation, then you can head to the NBA Projections Page, and see that our data team has Towns listed for 22 points in this game. Another sizable discrepancy within Stokastic’s projections in comparison to the betting market.
Final Thoughts
Understanding and applying EV in DFS and sports betting is crucial for long-term profitability. DFS players can increase their EV by leveraging projections, game theory and contest selection, while sports bettors can gain an edge through odds comparison, implied probability and market analysis. Whether you play DFS, bet on sports or do both, making +EV decisions consistently is the key to sustained success.
Portfolio EV is the perfect place to begin converting your DFS bankroll into sports betting profits (and vice versa). You can do just that with a FREE 7-DAY TRIAL today!
