Looking for NBA bets? We’ve got you covered. Our picks are backed by Stokastic’s NBA DFS Projections and OddsShopper’s Portfolio EV, ensuring you’re making data-driven wagers.
Stokastic’s Projected Stats page delivers expert predictions on player points, threes, rebounds, and more—an invaluable tool for both DFS and betting analysis.
Meanwhile, Portfolio EV, powered by our sister site OddsShopper, automates the process of finding +EV bets. Using advanced algorithms, it quickly identifies profitable opportunities across markets, helping you maximize returns while managing risk through diversification and daily compounding profits.
You can test it out FOR FREE, with a 7-DAY TRIAL today!
Save tons of time by reviewing the NBA portfolio, spotting strong bets, and cross-checking them with our projections. Now, let’s look at a couple of bets showing strong edges on Portfolio EV, along with our data team’s projections.
NBA Best Bets Using DFS Projections and Tools (March 13)
Here we have a bet featuring Luka Doncic. The wager is for him to stay UNDER 8.5 Assists against the Bucks.
As highlighted in the upper right-hand corner, the best odds are +102, which are available at FanDuel.
Below, we can see that the expected value (EV) of this bet is +2.1%, and the historical ROI for this specific bet is also +2.1%.
Below those numbers are a list of all the sportsbooks in your respective jurisdiction that are offering this wager. You can simply click whichever book (hopefully FanDuel since it has the best value) and it will take you to that page and get the play lined up for you in your bet slip.
From that data alone – it’s evident how attractive this bet is. However, if you’re someone who seeks further validation, then you could take a look at Luka Doncic’s projections on Stokastic:
Our data team projects Doncic to dish out seven dimes, which further reinforces the conviction in this bet. Thanks to Portfolio EV, this wager was flagged and then Stokastic’s projections further instilled the confidence in this wager.
NBA Best Bets Using DFS Projections and Tools (March 13)
Elevate your NBA DFS game with FREE DFS Sims! Sign up with one of our partners and enjoy a free month of Core DFS. Looking for more? Stack multiple partner signups to extend your access even further! Click here to get started.
Let’s take a look at another example:
Our next bet focuses on the Greek Freak, Giannis Antetokounmpo. Tonight, he’ll be in a star-studded matchup as the Bucks host the Lakers.
On the season, the Bucks’ big man is averaging 6 assists per game, but his numbers could fall below that standard considering the Lakers are 8th in Defensive Effective Field Goal Percentage and 11th in Points per 100 Possessions allowed. Even if Antetokounmpo facilitates effectively, his teammates may have trouble scoring against a strong Los Angeles defense. Portfolio EV reinforces this by highlighting a +EV wager on Antetokounmpo’s UNDER.
The bet is Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 6.5 Assists. The best odds are -134, which is available at BetRivers. Our tools are labeling this with an EV of +1.6%, and displaying that the true odds should be -139.
Also, the historical ROI for this specific prop bet is +8.7%. You can even see that several other sportsbooks are going as far as moving these odds to -150 or higher.
But, again – if you wanted to seek more affirmation, then you can head to the NBA Projections Page, and see that our data team has Antetokounmpo listed for 5.47 Assists in this game. Another sizable discrepancy within Stokastic’s projections in comparison to the betting market.
Final Thoughts
Understanding and applying EV in DFS and sports betting is crucial for long-term profitability. DFS players can increase their EV by leveraging projections, game theory and contest selection, while sports bettors can gain an edge through odds comparison, implied probability and market analysis. Whether you play DFS, bet on sports or do both, making +EV decisions consistently is the key to sustained success.
Portfolio EV is the perfect place to begin converting your DFS bankroll into sports betting profits (and vice versa). You can do just that with a FREE 7-DAY TRIAL today!
