MLB DFS Picks, Spotlight Pitchers & Top Stacks: Look to the Brew Crew on Sunday Funday! (April 6)

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Sunday has a terrific slate with a 1:35 p.m. ET first pitch on DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo. Today we’re exploring the MLB DFS projections using Stokastic’s industry-leading tools to uncover how to build MLB DFS stacks, identify top pitchers and craft optimal daily fantasy baseball lineups. There is a fair amount of precipitation risk, which has elevated David Peterson and Ronel Blanco up the pitching ranks. According to the Stokastic MLB DFS Top Stacks Tool, the Milwaukee Brewers are strong consideration for the best offense, and Kansas City is also rife with MLB DFS picks.

MLB DFS Picks: Spotlight Pitchers and Top Stacks | April 6


MLB DFS Picks: Spotlight Pitchers

Main Slate Primary Pitching Target: LHP David Peterson (NYM vs. TOR)

Mets vs. Blue Jays – 3.6 implied runs
First Pitch: 1:40 p.m. ET
$8,200 at DraftKings
$9,000 at FanDuel
$43 at Yahoo

The Stokastic MLB DFS Top Pitchers tool likes Corbin Burnes against the Nationals in Washington, though there are weather concerns. The Diamondbacks are in Arizona tomorrow, hosting the Baltimore Orioles, so it will be interesting to see if the teams push to get this game in, depending on Mother Nature, of course. Tyler Glasnow and Cristopher Sanchez are awaiting precipitation in Philadelphia, though with the Phillies off tomorrow and the Dodgers heading to Atlanta, the teams could wait things out for what appears to be a clear window in the early evening.

Speaking of Atlanta, it looks like rain is going to cross off this game since there are no letups in the forecast. That takes out Sandy Alcantara for Miami and Grant Holmes for the hosts. It does look like there could be scattered showers in New York; however, the game should play between the Mets and Toronto Blue Jays. That means LHP David Peterson is the first pitcher we can really consider on this slate.

Last year, everything came together for Peterson after he had spent the first couple seasons as a back-of-the-rotation starter then two years as a swingman, finally getting a full-time gig in 2024. He made 21 starts, logging 121 innings and limiting power to only 0.60 home runs per nine innings, courtesy of his 50% ground ball rate. His 7.51 strikeouts per nine innings were a four-year low; however, that projects to move back into the 8.1 to 8.6 range. When paired with his proclivity for inducing worm-burners, he is a solid DFS option.

Mitigating Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Anthony Santander will be key, though aside from catcher Alejandro Kirk, aging George Springer and slumping Bo Bichette, there is not a lot of worry in the Toronto batting order.

Main Slate Secondary Pitching Target: RHP Ronel Blanco (HOU at MIN)

Astros at Twins – 4.5 implied runs
First Pitch: 2:10 p.m. ET
$8,600 at DraftKings
$9,300 at FanDuel
$43 at Yahoo

The 4.5 implied run total for the Twins looks daunting, but some of that is earmarked for the bullpen. It is going to be in the mid-50s in Minnesota this afternoon, though there is a 10 to 15 mph breeze out to left-center field.

It is unlikely that RHP Ronel Blanco will replicate his no-hitter anytime soon, but he does collect nearly a strikeout per inning, giving him a chance to erase some of his mistakes at the plate. Those mistakes, of course, are an elevated walk rate that sits at 4.02 per nine innings for his career.

Blanco also has a propensity to allow power since he is not afraid to challenge hitters, which is not a problem when the bases are empty. When there are runners on board, well, that can turn his starts into madcap adventures, for his DFS backers.

The Twins are already without Royce Lewis, and it is only a matter of time before Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton are dinged up. That duo plus lefties Trevor Larnach and Matt Wallner are the biggest threats to Blanco this afternoon. Minnesota does not have a bad lineup; it is definitely pesky with Ty France, Willi Castro, catcher Ryan Jeffers and slugger Harrison Bader, but none of these guys is particularly threatening. Keep in mind longtime fan favorite Max Kepler is now in Philadelphia, taking another regular out of the lineup.

To be clear, Blanco would be a pitcher we would only be sprinkling across lineups today if it weren’t for so many dicey weather spots. Burnes, Glasnow and even Sanchez would all be preferable if the prognosticated precipitation problems dissipate.

MLB DFS Picks: Top Stacks

Main Slate Contrarian Target: Kansas City Royals

Royals vs. Orioles – 4.1 implied runs
First Pitch: 2:10 p.m. ET
Opposing Starter: LHP Cade Povich
DK Top Stack %: 3.4%
FD Top Stack %: 3.2%

The Stokastic MLB DFS Top Stacks Tool would like everyone playing on FanDuel to keep in mind that the Coors Field Extravaganza is being included in the featured tournaments on the blue site this Sunday. DraftKings is cutting things off with the Texas game, which is creating a difference in the player portfolios across the sites, particularly with all of the dicey weather.

LHP Cade Povich was acquired by Baltimore at the 2022 MLB trade deadline when the Orioles moved closer Jorge Lopez to the Minnesota Twins. The O’s also received pitchers Yennier Cano, Juan Nunez and Juan Rojas, along with Povich.

The talent is there for Povich, though like many young southpaws, the 24-year-old has had a rough go at putting everything together. Walks and power have been an issue in his scant 84 innings in The Show, which, of course, are a recipe for DFS goodness when considering opposing stacks.

Game-time temperatures will be in the mid-50s with an 8 to 12 mph breeze from right-center. Kansas City has plenty of pop from the right side of the plate, so this is a great spot to ride with the Royals.

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Bobby Witt Jr. is a superstar in the making, and he is the straw that stirs the drink in K.C. Veteran catcher Salvador Perez has a long history of success when holding the platoon advantage, and, of course, Hunter Renfroe never misses a chance to swing from his heels. Jonathan India brings excellent contact from the leadoff slot, along with a lofty 14.7% walk rate in his last 177 plate appearances against lefties. Vinnie Pasquantino has pop when he makes contact against same-handed hurlers, plus he should get a chance against some righties from the bullpen. Depending on where they slot in the lineup, journeyman Mark Canha and speedster Maikel Garcia can be used to round out full stacks.

Main Slate Primary Target: Milwaukee Brewers

Brewers vs. Reds – 4.7 implied runs
First Pitch: 2:10 p.m. ET
Opposing Starter: RHP
Carson Spiers
DK Top Stack %: 7.7%
FD Top Stack %: 6.3%

This is shaping up to be a long or short day for RHP Carson Spiers, depending on one’s perspective. Power has been an issue, with batters swinging the stick from both sides of the plate finding success. Same-handed hitters tallied a .211 ISO in the last 215 plate appearances against Spiers, while lefties had an eye-popping .263 ISO in 218 plate appearances dating back to the beginning of last year.

Most season-long projection systems have the 27-uear-old with something close to a 5.00 ERA and 1.5 to 1.6 home runs per nine innings. Walks are also an issue, which just adds fuel to the fire. Jackson Chourio, Rhys Hoskins and catcher William Contreras all thrive in same-handed matchups, with former MVP and two-time batting champion Christian Yelich still dangerous at the plate.

Brice Turang swiped 50 bags last season, and he already has two this year, typically leading off when he has the platoon advantage. Garrett Mitchell also has some pop and better numbers than Sal Frelick, though he tends to hit further down the order. The Cincinnati bullpen has seen some use over the last couple of days, though there are still fresh arms available. This motley crew is a collection of castoffs that we will want to be targeting throughout the season.

Today’s Top Sports Betting Picks

If you’re serious about MLB DFS picks, you already know that using the best tools is key to long-term success. The same principle applies to sports betting, and that’s where Portfolio EV comes into play.

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Just like one DFS lineup doesn’t guarantee a win, one bet doesn’t make or break your night — it’s all about the process.

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Eric "EMac" MacPherson won the 2007 Fantasy Baseball grand prize (trip for two to the MLB All-Star game) in the Roto format on ESPN. He won again in 2008, this time in the H2H format. As one of the early adopters of daily fantasy sports, EMac has been providing content for baseball and basketball as well as both professional and college football since 2012 for a variety of websites including DraftKings Playbook, FanVice, RotoWorld, Daily Fantasy Bootcamp, and RotoGrinders. He is well into his third decade of fantasy sports and has a wealth of knowledge and experience. Follow him on Twitter @EMacDFS or contact EMac by emailing [email protected].

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