Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football Rankings & Projections

Prepping for a fantasy football draft can be a time consuming, confusing process. Spending hours reading though magazines, on-line articles, and listening to podcasts can leave you sifting through a mishmash of conflicting and often useless information.

It’s difficult figuring out who to trust and which stats are noise and which aren’t. You’ve probably come across players who are considered a ‘Breakout’ pick in one article, only to see them labeled as a ‘bust’ in another.

The reason for this is simple: There are too many available statistics to choose from and many of the ones that are used by fantasy football analysts, contain little, if any, predictive value. In fact, even the statistics that do offer predictive value can be harmful when viewed in isolation. When citing individual statistics – as fantasy football analysts often do – they can make the case for anyone. If you’re tired of the groupthink and industry consensus, of seeing the same rankings over and over again, maybe it’s time for a data driven approach.

Fortunately, the solution to this problem is also simple: the creation of first-rate fantasy football rankings, based on projections. Good projections consider millions of data points. They then determine which data points are most predictive and aggregate them into a single overarching number for each player, finally culminating in a ranking system that takes relativity into account.

The Awesemo Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet

Whether you have an off-line draft or simply want a quick easy-to-look at cheat sheet for your fantasy football draft, we’ve got you covered with all types of different league scoring, from full PPR to half point to zero PPR (standard). You can also download our fantasy football cheat sheets by positional ranking and cross them off your draft, or use them in conjunction with our draft wingman tool, which allows you to keep track of how each pick is improving your roster.All our cheatsheets are based off of Alex ‘Awesemo’ Baker’s fantasy football rankings and projections. The world’s #1 DFS player, Alex ‘Awesemo’ Baker put his daily fantasy model to use, in order to calculate game-by-game projections for the entire NFL season, for every fantasy-relevant player. He used over/unders, win totals, spreads and metrics like targets, routes run, yards per attempt and many more, to come up with one simple, easy to use number for your fantasy football drafts. After that Awesemo factored in positional scarcity and relative value to reach a final, easy to use set of rankings and tiers.

Strength of Schedule Tool

Not every week is equal in fantasy football, especially when it comes to beating your friends in the playoffs.  If you preferentially choose players who have a favorable schedule going into weeks 15 and 16 you’ll have a great chance of success. The Awesemo Strength of Schedule tool isn’t your regular list of good and bad defences by week. Alex ‘Awesemo’ Baker has put his projections to work – using game lines from the 2020 season, coupled with specific stats to create a rating for each matchup that isn’t solely based on last year’s performances. As well, types of defences are taken into account. Inside, run stuffing defences may allow no points to bruising backs who continually run through the A-gap, but what about pass-catching backs like Christian McCaffrey or Alvin Kamara? Awesemo’s Strength of Schedule Tool, treats those backs differently, for example, and tailors  the fantasy football strength of schedule to their unique situations. As well, we’ve grouped each player’s strength of schedule by periods of the season – grouped by weeks. Want to know how a player grades out during the playoffs, just toggle the playoff column. Got a guillotine league where you need to be great right off the bat? Toggle Weeks 1-4.

Fantasy Football Sleepers, Breakouts + Busts